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Announcing Forecasting Impact Mini-Grants [Scott Alexander, Astral Codex Ten]

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  • For Creators:
    • Go to Manifold’s impact market site, Manifund, who have kindly agreed to handle the technology side of this.
    • Explain your project and how much funding you’re asking for ($20,000 or less, and preferably $5,000 or less).
    • Choose to keep your shares or sell them to investors. Selling may have tax implications.
    • Talk to potential investors and answer their questions.
    • Do as much of the project as you can before September 1 (our oracular funding will only consider the portion completed before that date).
  • For Us:
    • On September 1, we’ll look at all of the projects that got funded and try to value all of them.
    • We’ll try to buy impact certificates of the projects they value most ($20,000 cap, or 3x total invested).
    • We reserve the right to not buy impact certificates up to our full commitment if we think people are munchkinning the rules.
  • For Accredited Investors:
    • Register on Manifund as an accredited investor (net worth > $1 million, or have made $200,000+ per year for the past two years).
    • Bid on shares of any project you like.
    • IPOs close on March 8th, but you can keep buying and selling impact certificates among one another up to (and during, and after) the September 1 deadline.
    • If this project doesn’t work for some unexpected reason, we’ll refund up to $20,000.
  • For Other People Who Might Be Interested In Funding Forecasting:
    • Let me know at scott@slatestarcodex.com to add to our $20,000 commitment.
    • Compete with us to buy impact certificates, either before, on, or after September 1.
  • FAQ:
    • See the FAQ answers below.

Published February 24, 2023
Visit Astral Codex Ten to read Scott Alexander’s original post Announcing Forecasting Impact Mini-Grants

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