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The Build-Nothing Country [Noah Smith, Noahpinion]

T
  • Money is not physical stuff: Just because you earmark money for a project doesn’t mean it will get built. Permitting, land use, and development regulations can hold up the process for years, and cost overruns can lead to inadequate physical projects.
  • NIMBYism: NIMBYs are holding up solar and wind projects, transmission lines, and housing construction due to their intrusions on scenic views and taking up a lot of space.
  • Supply-chain snags: The Biden administration’s crackdown on sourcing from China has caused supply-chain snags and long waits to connect to the grid.
  • Cost overruns: The Second Avenue Subway line is an order of magnitude more costly per mile than similar projects in Europe due to overuse of expensive consultants, overly large train stations, and poor coordination and pork-barrel spending by other city agencies.
  • Environmental review laws: California’s extra-strict environmental review law (CEQA) is being abused by local supporters of physical stasis to prevent housing construction.
  • TSMC: The Taiwanese company that recently agreed to build a big plant in Arizona is running into major cost issues due to construction costs being 4 to 5x greater for US fabs versus a fab in Taiwan.

Published February 27, 2023
Visit Noahpinion to read Noah Smith’s original post The Build-Nothing Country

Everything Is About the Housing Market [Annie Lowrey, The Atlantic]

E
  • Bagel stores in San Francisco open too late – key because it is the subject of the article that led to the author’s exploration of the housing crisis.
  • Housing crisis is to blame – key because it is the main theme of the article.
  • Housing crisis affects every facet of American life – key because it is the conclusion the author came to based on their exploration of the housing crisis.
  • The housing theory of everything – key because it is the term used to describe the housing crisis and its effect on life.
  • The answer is to build more homes – key because it is the solution proposed to the housing crisis.

Published February 18, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Annie Lowrey’s original post Everything Is About the Housing Market

Can The Housing Market Stabilize? [Joseph Politano, Apricitas Economics]

C

• The US housing market is in a nearly unprecedented place due to rising interest rates and the pandemic.
• Mortgage rates have started to retreat, but the housing market is still trying to adjust to higher rates.
• Real private residential fixed investment has fallen 20% throughout the year and now sits well below pre-pandemic levels.
• The number of units under construction is still near all-time highs, protecting employment in the housing sector.
• Home prices are still elevated, but the Case-Shiller National Home Price Index just took a dip for the first time in years.
• The homebuying market remains anything but stable, with new home sales dipping below the pre-pandemic average.
• The housing market feels more like a passenger than a driver, with movements in the labor market dominating the housing market.

Published January 28, 2023
Visit Apricitas Economics to read Joseph Politano’s original post Can The Housing Market Stabilize?

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