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Actually, Japan has changed a lot [Noah Smith, Noahpinion]

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• Rupert Wingfield-Hayes’ farewell essay paints a picture of Japan as a stagnant and static society, but this is inaccurate.
• Japan has changed in important and visible ways, such as its built environment, fertility rate, immigration policy, and role of women in the workforce.
• Aging is a real problem, but Japan’s fertility rate is higher than any other developed country in its region.
• Immigration policy has changed substantially, with the number of foreign-born workers in Japan doubling in the first few years of Abe’s administration.
• The percentage of women in corporate management has increased from 11% to 15%.
• Japan’s choice not to tie middle-class wealth to housing prices is a smart one, as it has allowed for affordable housing and economic growth.
• Westerners should not essentialize Japan, as this will limit their ability to offer meaningful solutions to the country’s problems.

Published January 24, 2023
Visit Noahpinion to read Noah Smith’s original post Actually, Japan has changed a lot

COVID: China’s Problem Child [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • There is a situation brewing in China resulting from the late November/early December protests, leading to a fast-spreading outbreak that is difficult to measure.
  • The Chinese have discontinued their use of social monitoring for Covid and have allowed provinces and local governments to lessen restrictions for the first time.
  • The scale of the situation is difficult to comprehend, with the Chinese population being older, more diabetic, and lacking natural immunity.
  • Vaccines are barely functional against the current strain, and the Chinese have limited access to critical care.
  • If the current strain is worse than measles, a death rate of 100 per 100,000 infections is likely to be much higher.
  • The Chinese Health System is inadequate to face this crisis, and many businesses and testing facilities are already closed.
  • It is likely that China will be offline from a manufacturing point of view for at least the next three to four months.

link to original vlog published December 14, 2022: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d0BNUF9ItmQ


Japan’s New Toy: The Tomahawk Missile [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • The Japanese Defense Ministry has announced that the US has agreed to sell Japan several hundred Tomahawk cruise missiles.
  • This is a big deal as Japan has the world’s second largest Blue Water Navy and would do well in a fight against the Chinese Navy.
  • Japan is part of the first island chain which separates the Chinese littoral from the rest of the world, making it vulnerable to Chinese weapon systems.
  • Tomahawks have a range of 1,000 miles with a 1,000 pound warhead and are difficult to detect or intercept.
  • The US has rarely sold this type of weapon to anyone other than itself and the UK, making it a major strategic development as Japan and Australia now have the capability of independently destroying China’s economic links to the world.

link to original vlog published December 13, 2022: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jK54VH_IE5s


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