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Peter Zeihan – Is India the Next China?

By William McClain
In Peter Zeihan [Zeihan on Geopolitics]
February 27, 2023
546 views
P
  • Strategic largesse of the United States: The US created the globalized system to allow the import and export of everything on a global basis without having to secure territory or sea lanes militarily.
  • Hyper financialization: The Chinese system is dependent upon the ongoing strategic largesse of the US, which is a very bad plan. The US has the ability to kill this overnight if it chooses to.
  • Demographics: India has slowly transitioned to a chimney demography, but the process started a lot later than it did in China and is proceeding at a slower speed. India has plenty of people under 40 to do consuming and still have kids.
  • Closeness to resources: India is closer to the resources it needs, such as food and minerals, than China is. India is also the first stop out of the Persian Gulf, so it is unlikely to ever have an energy crisis.

Published February 27, 2023
Visit YouTube to watch Peter Zeihan’s original vlog Peter Zeihan – Is India the Next China?

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The Secrets in Our Skies [Adam Popescu, The Free Press]

By William McClain
In [The Free Press]
February 27, 2023
149 views
T
  • First things first—what are the odds China is behind all this? – High. China is known for sending balloons into near space, and the U.S. Air Force chose not to fire a missile at any of the 366 unidentified aerial phenomena (UAPs) that were detected in 2022. The first UAP, which was shot down off the coast of Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, was confirmed to be a Chinese spy balloon.
  • Is there any chance the three mystery crafts were not spying on America? – No. China has significant influence over any private enterprise, and the Chinese government is not a democracy. The balloons were likely dispatched by a Chinese company that is an extension of the Chinese military intelligence regime.
  • So what, exactly, were the balloons looking for? – The balloons were likely looking to take lateral images of ground installations, gauge weather patterns, and enhance communications. They can also stay airborne for years at a time, broadcasting data back home in real time.
  • So why didn’t the president just tell us the whole, unvarnished truth? – The guiding philosophy in Washington is to avoid a direct conflict with China, and the federal government’s silence on this story reflects a broader reticence to communicate plainly and candidly about national security, American airspace, or UAPs. The Chinese likely wanted to see what the U.S. response would be.
  • What does China likely make of our response to its flying objects? – China likely sees this as a way to erode our unity, and the balloons have cast a spotlight on a gaping hole in our national discourse. There was predictable partisan sniping and hysteria, and China likely views this as further confirmation of our national decline.

Published February 25, 2023
Visit The Free Press to read Adam Popescu’s original post The Secrets in Our Skies

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Peter Zeihan – US Policy: Russia Gets Blacklisted [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

By William McClain
In Peter Zeihan [Zeihan on Geopolitics]
February 22, 2023
154 views
P
  • U.S President Joe Biden’s Trip to Kiev: President Biden made a trip to Kiev in the midst of an air raid, demonstrating a clear commitment to the Ukrainian cause.
  • Accusation of Crimes Against Humanity: Vice President Kamala Harris accused the Russian government of crimes against humanity, a term not used lightly.
  • Torture Camps: Over 70 torture camps have been identified, with many more in Russian-occupied territories.
  • Secretary of State Tony Blinken’s Announcement: Secretary of State Blinken announced that the Chinese are considering providing lethal aid and ammunition to the Russians.
  • Meltdown in Relations with China: Relations with China are reaching a meltdown, with the Chinese unable to make cohesive decisions and implement them across their system.
  • Strict American Sanctions: If the Chinese continue on this path, the U.S will enforce strict sanctions, including financial sanctions with sharply limited access to the US dollar.

Published February 21, 2023
Visit YouTube to watch Peter Zeihan’s original vlog Peter Zeihan – US Policy: Russia Gets Blacklisted

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China must stop its coal industry [Noah Smith, Noahpinion]

By William McClain
In Noah Smith [Noahpinion]
February 17, 2023
145 views
C
  • China is the world’s chief emitter of carbon dioxide, dwarfing the U.S.
  • China is rapidly transitioning to renewables, building more solar in one year than all the solar installed in the U.S.
  • China is still the world’s coal superpower and coal consumption is expected to continue increasing for at least 3 years
  • The coal industry is politically very powerful in China, with coal companies, provincial governments, and industry workers all relying on it for income and jobs
  • The U.S. may be able to help China transition away from coal by making solar cheaper, cutting a deal to reduce oil use, or by imposing carbon tariffs
  • Leaving coal in the ground provides a form of insurance against future collapses of civilization

Published February 17, 2023
Visit Noahpinion to read Noah Smith’s original post China must stop its coal industry

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Decoupling is not deglobalization [Noah Smith, Noahpinion]

By Spencer Chen
In Noah Smith [Noahpinion]
February 16, 2023
155 views
D

• Decoupling from China is gaining steam, but many voices in the financial press and international economic organizations are sounding a note of concern.
• Critics of decoupling often conflate it with deglobalization, but they are not the same. Decoupling could even make the world more globalized.
• Actual deglobalization started before Trump, likely due to the financial crisis of 2008.
• Studies predict significant losses from decoupling, but their models rely on questionable assumptions.
• Instead of reverting to the old equilibrium of 2015, we should be thinking about how to shape the next wave of globalization in a way that encourages global economic growth while also providing security.

Published February 16, 2023
Visit Noahpinion to read Noah Smith’s original post Decoupling is not deglobalization

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The Simple Explanation for All These Flying Objects [Juliette Kayyem, The Atlantic]

By Spencer Chen
In [The Atlantic]
February 13, 2023
136 views
T

• The U.S. military has recently shot down three unidentified objects in the sky over Alaska, northern Canada, and Lake Huron.
• This follows the identification and downing of a Chinese surveillance balloon earlier this month.
• The U.S. is now looking for more things in the sky and has lowered its standard for shooting objects out of the sky.
• The White House should quickly disclose the nature of the objects now in U.S. possession, even if they are nothing significant.
• It is possible that the U.S. is under a new threat or finally seeing more evidence of an old threat, but it is also possible that none of this is new or terribly threatening.

Published February 13, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Juliette Kayyem’s original post The Simple Explanation for All These Flying Objects

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Peter Zeihan – It’s a Bird, It’s a Plane, It’s a Chinese Spy Balloon… [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

By William McClain
In Peter Zeihan [Zeihan on Geopolitics], Politics
February 13, 2023
142 views
P
  • Chinese were attempting to conduct surveillance on US military facilities, specifically ICBM launch facilities, using a balloon.
  • Chinese leadership has been making catastrophic mistakes in various areas due to lack of dissent and surrounding themselves with yes-men.
  • US detected the balloon and tracked it, gathering digital renderings of the structure and its emissions.
  • Chinese got little to no information from the effort, while US got a better look at Chinese spy technology and capabilities.
  • Incident has exposed the dysfunction and stupidity of Chinese National Security Experts.

Published February 13, 2023
Visit YouTube to watch Peter Zeihan’s original vlog Peter Zeihan – It’s a Bird, It’s a Plane, It’s a Chinese Spy Balloon…

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A History of Confusing Stuff in the Sky [Garrett M. Graff, The Atlantic]

By Spencer Chen
In [The Atlantic]
February 8, 2023
154 views
A

• Balloons have been used for spying and bombing since World War I, and German zeppelins regularly crossed the English Channel to drop hand grenades or small bombs on London.
• During World War II, Japan lofted about 9,000 balloon bombs toward the West Coast in 1944 and 1945, hoping to spread fear, ignite forest fires, and bring the war to America’s homeland.
• At the end of World War II, the arrival of the nuclear bomb meant that an entire city could be vaporized by a lone attacker arriving out of the blue sky.
• In 1947, reports of a mysterious flight of objects over the Cascades in the Pacific Northwest touched off a summer of excited, panicked UFO sightings.
• In 1952, the Air Force’s UFO-investigation program, Project Blue Book, figured out that Captain Thomas F. Mantell had most likely been chasing a Navy weather balloon when he crashed his plane.
• In the postwar era, balloons represented cutting-edge military technology, and the U.S. had multiple secret balloon projects under way.
• On Saturday, the U.S. military deployed an F-22 to shoot down a Chinese spy balloon, and the pilot who flew the plane is known as FRANK01, honoring Frank Luke, the balloon-busting ace of 1918.

Published February 8, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Garrett M. Graff’s original post A History of Confusing Stuff in the Sky

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The History Behind the Chinese Spy Balloon [Garrett M. Graff, The Atlantic]

By Spencer Chen
In [The Atlantic]
February 8, 2023
140 views
T

• Balloons have been used for spying and bombing since World War I, and German zeppelins regularly crossed the English Channel to drop hand grenades or small bombs on London.
• During World War II, Japan lofted about 9,000 balloon bombs toward the West Coast in 1944 and 1945, hoping to spread fear, ignite forest fires, and bring the war to America’s homeland.
• At the end of World War II, the arrival of the nuclear bomb meant that an entire city could be vaporized by a lone attacker arriving out of the blue sky.
• In 1947, reports of a mysterious flight of objects over the Cascades in the Pacific Northwest touched off a summer of excited, panicked UFO sightings.
• In 1952, the Air Force’s UFO-investigation program, Project Blue Book, figured out that Captain Thomas F. Mantell, a World War II pilot, had most likely been chasing a Navy weather balloon when he crashed.
• In the postwar era, balloons represented cutting-edge military technology, and the U.S. had multiple secret balloon projects under way.
• Today, sophisticated surveillance systems have failed to spot the forays of other Chinese balloons, and the U.S. military deployed an F-22 to shoot down the modern version of the first aerial weapon the country ever faced.

Published February 8, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Garrett M. Graff’s original post The History Behind the Chinese Spy Balloon

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February 6, 2023 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters from an American]

By Spencer Chen
In Heather Cox Richardson [Letters from an American]
February 7, 2023
135 views
F

• A Chinese airship entered U.S. airspace on January 28 and was shot down off the coast of South Carolina on February 4.
• Republicans have responded to the balloon with exaggerated claims that Biden has been weak on China or even working for China.
• In fact, U.S. standing in the world has strengthened considerably since Biden took office, and the balloon is just one more piece of a larger story about the changing relationship between China and the U.S.
• Biden has rejected the trickle-down economics of the Republicans and has revived the older idea that investing in ordinary Americans and infrastructure creates widespread prosperity.
• A poll conducted by the Washington Post and ABC News shows that 62% of Americans think Biden has not accomplished much in his two years in office, but his administration ranks as one of the most consequential since the New Deal in the 1930s.
• Neo-Nazi leader Brandon Russell and Sarah Clendaniel were charged with plotting to bring down the electric power grid in Maryland.
• Thousands are dead from the 7.8 magnitude earthquake and its strong aftershocks in Turkey and Syria last night, and Biden has pledged to support our NATO ally.

Published February 7, 2023
Visit Letters from an American to read Heather Cox Richardson’s original post February 6, 2023

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