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COVID: China’s Problem Child [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • There is a situation brewing in China resulting from the late November/early December protests, leading to a fast-spreading outbreak that is difficult to measure.
  • The Chinese have discontinued their use of social monitoring for Covid and have allowed provinces and local governments to lessen restrictions for the first time.
  • The scale of the situation is difficult to comprehend, with the Chinese population being older, more diabetic, and lacking natural immunity.
  • Vaccines are barely functional against the current strain, and the Chinese have limited access to critical care.
  • If the current strain is worse than measles, a death rate of 100 per 100,000 infections is likely to be much higher.
  • The Chinese Health System is inadequate to face this crisis, and many businesses and testing facilities are already closed.
  • It is likely that China will be offline from a manufacturing point of view for at least the next three to four months.

link to original vlog published December 14, 2022: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d0BNUF9ItmQ


Japan’s New Toy: The Tomahawk Missile [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • The Japanese Defense Ministry has announced that the US has agreed to sell Japan several hundred Tomahawk cruise missiles.
  • This is a big deal as Japan has the world’s second largest Blue Water Navy and would do well in a fight against the Chinese Navy.
  • Japan is part of the first island chain which separates the Chinese littoral from the rest of the world, making it vulnerable to Chinese weapon systems.
  • Tomahawks have a range of 1,000 miles with a 1,000 pound warhead and are difficult to detect or intercept.
  • The US has rarely sold this type of weapon to anyone other than itself and the UK, making it a major strategic development as Japan and Australia now have the capability of independently destroying China’s economic links to the world.

link to original vlog published December 13, 2022: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jK54VH_IE5s


Where in the World: Tenaya and Climate Change [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • The Earth’s temperature is expected to rise by various estimates, but these estimates are based on educated guesses and simulations due to limited data.
  • Climate change can lead to more erratic weather patterns, especially in areas with limited sources of wind and humidity, such as California, Portland, and Seattle.
  • The further a region is from the temperate, humid zone, the more prone it is to extreme temperature fluctuations.
  • Most of the world’s population lives in humid regions, but these regions often rely on food from less humid areas, which could be impacted by climate change.
  • There may be issues with food supply as a result of climate change, rather than just concerns about climate refugees.

link to original vlog published December 12, 2022: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B1iqPZV0X0E


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