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Demographics Part 1: Understanding the Basics [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • Population structures are key in shaping an economy’s success
  • Historically, population structures have been pyramid-shaped with few retirees at the top, and many children at the bottom
  • After World War II, child mortality has dropped and lifespans have increased, transforming population structures into a ‘chimney’-like shape
  • This ‘chimney’ economic model is characterized by a balanced number of children, young adults, mature adults, and retirees, leading to a steady, balanced economy
  • Now, many countries are facing an inverted pyramid population structure, where there are more people in the 50s, 40s, 30s, 20s, and teens
  • This inverted pyramid leads to a lack of consumption and production, and a need for countries to export and import goods
  • Countries can either increase their birth rate, or borrow other people’s kids through immigration policies in order to maintain a balanced population structure

Click HERE for original. Published December 27, 2022

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William McClain
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