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Mexican Cartels: The Fallout of El Chapo [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • Ovidio Guzman, son of former cartel head El Chapo, was arrested in Mexico and taken to Mexico City ahead of the Biden administration’s presidential visit.
  • El Chapo’s cartel was the most powerful organized crime group in the world, due to its light-handed approach and focus on not preying upon the locals.
  • After El Chapo’s arrest, the cartel fractured into several local warlords, led by El Mayo, who is the most powerful but does not control the majority of the cartel.
  • El Chapo’s three sons, one of which is Video Guzman, have risen to power and are engaged in a power struggle.
  • The Mexican government has attempted to apprehend Ovidio Guzman before, but the operation was unsuccessful and sparked a riot. This time, they were successful and took him to Mexico City.
  • The speculation is that the Mexican government is attempting to make a peace offering to the Biden administration.
  • The most concerning part of the drug war is the hyper violent Jalisco New Generation cartel, which is challenging the other cartels for control of the transfer plazas on the border.
  • If they succeed, it could change the political discussion within the US and between Washington and Mexico City almost overnight.

You can watch the full Mexican Cartels: The Fallout of El Chapo on YouTube – Published January 7, 2023

 

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William McClain
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