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A new plan to get around the debt ceiling hostage [Matthew Yglesias, Slow Boring]

A

• The Treasury Department can use a bond yield trick to raise money without increasing the face value of the debt, which would help them get around the debt ceiling issue.
• This involves offering a bond with a high interest rate and seeing how much money people will give them for it.
• This would slow the pace at which the face value of debt accumulates and even start to reduce the face value of the debt over time.
• This would be done by swapping out old bonds with high face values and low interest rates for equivalent-yielding bonds with low face values and high interest rates.
• The Treasury Department has proposed issuing high-yield bonds to avoid a debt ceiling fight with Republicans.
• This would be a way to avoid doing something flagrantly illegal, as the executive branch has an obligation to pay what it owes according to the laws that exist.
• The biggest practical problem is that troublemakers only need to find one insane district court judge somewhere in the country to order a national injunction and create at least a temporary crisis.
• Joe Biden and his cabinet secretaries do not have the legal authority to blow off the law and not spend what Congress has told them to spend.
• The importance of shooting the hostage is to take the debt ceiling issue off the table and separate the debate over the debt ceiling from the debate over fiscal policy.
• Biden should do a big speech calling for a bipartisan commission on deficit reduction and have the Treasury start working on some high-yield bonds.

Published January 11, 2023. Visit Slow Boring to read Matthew Yglesias’s original post.

Income inequality has been falling for a while now [Matthew Yglesias, Slow Boring]

I

• Obama-Biden economics have achieved more than people realize, with inequality decreasing and median wages and household income reaching all-time highs by the end of Obama’s term.
• Biden’s policies have continued this trend, with inflation-adjusted median earnings in the third quarter of 2022 higher than in the third quarter of 2019 and the lowest-wage workers seeing particularly strong wage performance.
• The tax and transfer system in the US has become more egalitarian since the Reagan era, with the Obama administration raising taxes on the rich to expand the welfare state.
• To continue this trend, Biden should focus on enacting pro-growth, pro-equality regulatory changes on a bipartisan basis and avoiding new rounds of commodity shocks.

Published January 3, 2023. Visit Slow Boring to read Matthew Yglesias’s original post.

Happy New Year! Republicans have changed a lot since 2008 [Matthew Yglesias, Slow Boring]

H

• This article looks at the transformation of Republican Party politics since 2008, focusing on the differences between the platforms of Mitt Romney and John McCain in 2008 and Donald Trump in 2020.
• It examines how Romney moved to the right on climate and immigration, while Trump moved to the left on entitlements and was relatively moderate on LGBT issues.
• It also looks at the emergence of a new agenda focused on the war on “wokeness”, spearheaded by Christopher Rufo, and how this has become a major focus of Republican politics.
• Finally, it argues that if Republicans sweep into power with large majorities, they will likely pursue a right-wing agenda focused on cutting taxes, slashing spending, and banning abortion.

Published January 2, 2023. Visit Slow Boring to read Matthew Yglesias’s original post.

December 29, 2022 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters From An American]

D
  • President Joe Biden signed into law the bipartisan year-end omnibus funding bill passed by the House and the Senate.
  • The $1.7 trillion measure funds the military and domestic programs, public health and science, law enforcement, and programs to prevent violence against women.
  • Trump and his cronies remain determined to return to power, either to stop this federal action Trump incorrectly calls “Marxism” or to use the government to enforce right-wing religious values.
  • Establishment Republicans came around to backing Trump in 2017 after he promised them lower taxes and less regulation.
(more…)

The midterms should be a stake through the heart of the mobilization myth [Matthew Yglesias, Slow Boring]

T
  • Swing voters are real and mobilization theory is not a viable way to win elections.
  • Democrats won key races in the 2022 midterms by persuading a small number of Republicans to vote for them.
  • Democrats need to appeal to swing voters in order to win in states like Ohio, North Carolina, Florida, and Texas.
  • There is no tradeoff between trying to maximize turnout and trying to appeal to swing voters.
  • Political advocacy involves trying to convince people to change their minds and create new possibilities.

Click HERE for original. Published December 13, 2022

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