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‘We Used to Be Called Moderate. We Are Not Moderate.’ [Russell Berman, The Atlantic]

• The most important people in Washington during the upcoming debt ceiling crisis will be the House Republicans closest to the political center, known as the “moderates”.
• The Republican Main Street Partnership, a political organization founded 25 years ago by then-Representative Amo Houghton of New York, has rebranded itself to stay relevant in today’s GOP, dropping the words “moderate” and “centrist” from its mission statement.
• The Main Street Caucus, the largest of the three groups of self-identified “pragmatists”, elected a more conservative chair and vice chair.
• The “pragmatists” have already blocked two bills backed by some on the far right from coming up for a vote.
• The “pragmatists” could use a discharge petition to bypass the party leadership in the fiscal battles to come, but many of them are sounding like McCarthy, who has said the president must endorse spending cuts in order to lift the borrowing limit.
• Former Representative Charlie Dent predicted that Republicans would win few if any concessions from Democrats for raising the borrowing limit this time around.

Published January 27, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Russell Berman’s original post ‘We Used to Be Called Moderate. We Are Not Moderate.’

The Iceberg Cowboys Who Wrangle the Purest Water on Earth [Matthew Birkhold, Nautilus]

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• Iceberg Alley is a cold and gray area off the coast of St. John’s, Canada, which is known for its lack of sunshine.
• Glaciers in Greenland calve icebergs into the Labrador Sea, which then drift southward in an annual migration.
• Icebergs can contain ancient artifacts, chemicals, and air bubbles from the past, and are also incredibly pure.
• Ed Kean, a fifth-generation fisherman, harvests icebergs for their water, which is said to taste like water should.
• The process of harvesting involves shooting the icebergs, using poles and hooks to move them, and then winching them onto the boat.
• Sightseeing for icebergs is like being on safari, and tourists can take a boat tour to see them.
• The article discusses the process of harvesting icebergs in St. John’s, Newfoundland and Labrador.
• The process is labor-intensive and difficult, requiring the use of a crane, axes, and shovels.
• The author also goes on a sightseeing tour to view icebergs, and learns about the different types of icebergs from glaciologists.
• The article ends with the author reflecting on the success of Ed Kean, the “Captain Ahab of the Ice”, and his ability to “vanquish” icebergs.
• The author also mentions the local tradition of “screeching-in”, which involves reciting a vow, taking a shot of rum, and kissing a cod.
• Lastly, the author mentions the local beer, Iceberg, which is made with 20,000-year-old iceberg water.

Published January 27, 2023
Visit Nautilus to read Matthew Birkhold’s original post The Iceberg Cowboys Who Wrangle the Purest Water on Earth

The Logic Behind Biden’s Refusal to Negotiate the Debt Ceiling [Ronald Brownstein, The Atlantic]

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• President Joe Biden is refusing to link increasing the debt ceiling with cutting federal spending, a decision rooted in the Obama administration’s experiences in 2011-15.
• In 2011, Obama and his team negotiated with House Republicans to link a debt-ceiling increase with spending cuts, but the negotiations failed and proved so disruptive to financial markets that Obama and his team emerged determined never to repeat it.
• In 2013, Obama declined to negotiate with House Republicans and the GOP eventually raised the debt ceiling without conditions.
• In 2011, Obama and Boehner came close to a “grand bargain” to control the long-term debt, but their negotiations foundered when they could not agree on the balance between tax increases and spending cuts.
• In 2013, House Republicans returned with a new set of demands for raising the debt ceiling, including unraveling Obama’s greatest legislative achievement, the Affordable Care Act. Obama declined to talk with Republicans.
• Biden and his team have taken from the Obama years the lesson that if they don’t negotiate against the debt limit, a sufficient number of Republicans will eventually back down because the economic consequences of default would be so catastrophic.

Published January 27, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Ronald Brownstein’s original post The Logic Behind Biden’s Refusal to Negotiate the Debt Ceiling

Vertical communities [Noah Smith, Noahpinion]

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• The paper “Public Perceptions of Local Influence” by Joshua Hochberg and Eitan Hersh found that most people can no longer name individuals who they think are influential in their community.
• This could be due to big companies muscling out small businesses, or it could be a sign of Americans becoming disengaged from their local communities.
• The idea of “community” has changed from being based on physical proximity to being based on identities, interests, and values.
• The internet has enabled the formation of vertical communities, which are groups of people united by identities, interests, and values rather than by physical proximity.
• Horizontal communities still exist, but they are often stifling and repressive.
• Vertical communities are thriving online, but they are not “network states” and are subordinate to horizontal communities.
• Public goods are still provided by horizontal organizations, but social interaction happens in the cloud.
• This dichotomy presents an enormous challenge to our institutions, as public goods are easier to provide when people have homogeneous preferences.
• Vertical communities could exacerbate divisions and make it difficult to provide public goods.

Published January 27, 2023
Visit Noahpinion to read Noah Smith’s original post Vertical communities

January 26, 2023 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters from an American]

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• The National Archives and Records Administration (NARA) asked six former presidents and their vice presidents to look for any presidential records, including documents marked classified, in their possession.
• The request illuminates the importance of disinformation in society, as Trump and his allies insist he is being treated unfairly.
• The truth is that it was the Trump administration that sought to weaponize the government against their perceived enemies.
• William Barr deliberately tried to use the Department of Justice to undermine the officials who had launched the Russia investigation properly and with good reason.
• Barr spun the information inaccurately to make the best possible case for Trump, convincing many Americans to think there was nothing between the Trump campaign and Russia.
• John Durham was appointed to investigate the investigators, but no matter how hard he tried, he did not turn up information indicating the investigators had conducted themselves improperly.
• Durham did find accusations from Italian officials that Trump himself might have engaged in financial crimes.
• The cozy relationship between Durham and Barr violated department policy for special counsels.
• Charles McGonigal, the special agent in charge of counterintelligence in the FBI’s New York Field Office, was arrested this week for working for a Russian oligarch close to Vladimir Putin.
• Scholar of authoritarianism Timothy Snyder noted that authorities have not taken the threat of Russian influence in our politics seriously enough.
• Newly elected House Republican Cory Mills of Florida handed out defused grenades on the floor of the House, accompanied by a note suggesting he was sending them because McCarthy has put him on the Armed Services and Foreign Affairs Committees.

Published January 27, 2023
Visit Letters from an American to read Heather Cox Richardson’s original post January 26, 2023

If I Have to Keep Hearing “Nobody Believes In Us” I’m Going to Jump Out a Window [Freddie deBoer, Freddie deBoer’s Substack]

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• The Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs have both been playing the “nobody believes in us” card, despite the Bengals having the consensus best player in football and hosting the AFC championship game for the fifth consecutive time.
• Betting underdogs went 97-175 in terms of wins and losses last season, suggesting that the “nobody believes in us” narrative is not as powerful as it is made out to be.
• Teams like the Patriots, Cowboys, and 49ers have all won championships despite being favored in the majority of their Super Bowl appearances.
• Professional athletes are already playing as hard as they can, as they have a direct financial incentive to do so.
• The “nobody believes in us” narrative is insulting and absurd, as motivation has nothing to do with the outcome of the game.

Published January 26, 2023
Visit Freddie deBoer’s Substack to read Freddie deBoer’s original post If I Have to Keep Hearing “Nobody Believes In Us” I’m Going to Jump Out a Window

Reversion to Reality: How Big Tech Impacts the Economy [kyla scanlon, Kyla’s Newsletter]

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• Tech layoffs are happening in a horrible way, with no communication, locked badges, and broken email access.
• There are multiple reasons for the layoffs, including tech bloat, ad sales, higher interest rates, AI, and planned obsolescence.
• The layoffs are sending a message to the market that the end of profligacy is here.
• The economy is a force within itself, and it’s questionable if the Fed rate hikes have even worked their way through yet.
• We need to evolve from focusing on bits to refocusing on atoms.
• We need to exercise empathy and compassion to understand the pain of others and help them.
• Big Tech layoffs can feel removed from reality, but we must strive to have perspective and care for those affected.
• Empathy and compassion are key to understanding and helping those in need.
• Mary Oliver and Barbara Alice Mann offer advice on how to teach children to appreciate the world and be devoted to it.
• U.S. fiscal stimulus has caused excess inflation, and Lael Brainard is a top contender for the National Economic Council.

Published January 26, 2023
Visit Kyla’s Newsletter to read kyla scanlon’s original post Reversion to Reality: How Big Tech Impacts the Economy

Major corporations back book-banning North Dakota legislator [Judd Legum, Popular Information]

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• North Dakota House Majority Leader Mike Lefor (R) has proposed legislation that would prohibit public libraries from maintaining books with LGBTQ characters and themes.
• The legislation defines a “sexually explicit” book as one that contains a “visual depiction” of twelve items, including “sexual identity” and “gender identity.”
• Librarians argue that the legislation would require them to remove most books with LGBTQ characters, and that it promotes censorship and book bans.
• The legislation provides that librarians that make prohibited materials available would face “up to 30 days imprisonment” and a $1500 fine.
• Lefor introduced the legislation because the book “Let’s Talk About It: The Teen’s Guide to Sex, Relationships, and Being a Human” was available in public libraries.
• The legislation is likely unconstitutional, as the Supreme Court has ruled that governments are not permitted to remove materials from libraries because they disapprove of the content.
• Lefor is supported by some of the most prominent corporations in the United States, including Johnson & Johnson, AT&T, NextEra Energy, ConocoPhillips, and Marathon Petroleum.

Published January 26, 2023
Visit Popular Information to read Judd Legum’s original post Major corporations back book-banning North Dakota legislator

Republicans can’t even explain what they’re trying to do with the debt ceiling [Matthew Yglesias, Slow Boring]

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• Republicans are instigating a debt ceiling drama without any real interest in the national debt or deficit reduction.
• Trump, Vance, and Mace have all ruled out cuts to Social Security and Medicare, and the Freedom Caucus rejected Manchin’s proposal for a bipartisan commission.
• There is an established process for cutting discretionary spending, but Republicans have not taken advantage of it.
• Ryan and Trump wanted to cut Medicaid, but the ACA expansion put a stop to that.
• A bipartisan commission could be a good idea, but it would require Republicans to agree to tax increases.
• The Chicago Model of issuing high-coupon bonds could be a promising way for the executive branch to keep the country running.

Published January 26, 2023
Visit Slow Boring to read Matthew Yglesias’s original post Republicans can’t even explain what they’re trying to do with the debt ceiling

Alcohol and Health [Emily Oster, ParentData]

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• Alcohol is a significant contributor to death, with liver disease, alcohol poisoning, and drunk-driving-related deaths being the most common causes.
• We do not have good data on the relationship between alcohol and health at lower levels of drinking due to observational data bias.
• The most comprehensive study of the link between alcohol and long-term health was published in The Lancet in 2018, which showed an upward-trending relationship between alcohol and colon/rectal cancer, and a dip initially between light drinking and heart health.
• The New York Times article on alcohol last week suggested that five years of drinking two alcoholic beverages a day can damage the liver, but this is not supported by data.
• A randomized trial of light drinking was shut down due to funding from alcohol manufacturers.
• Despite the lack of evidence that alcohol is good for health, it can still be enjoyed in moderation.
• If one feels like their alcohol consumption is too much, it is a time to re-evaluate.

Published January 26, 2023
Visit ParentData to read Emily Oster’s original post Alcohol and Health

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