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The big NEPA roundup [Noah Smith, Noahpinion]

T
  • NEPA is a procedural requirement for any project with federal involvement to do an environmental impact review before starting construction.
  • NEPA reviews often take several years to complete and can be used as a weapon by activist groups to delay or cancel projects they don’t like.
  • Op-eds have argued that NEPA allows excessive community input and is un-democratic, and that progressives are doing themselves a disservice by opposing Joe Manchin’s proposed permitting reforms.
  • Abolishing NEPA and replacing it with other procedures for enforcing environmental law has been suggested, though no guidance has been given on how to do that.
  • NEPA is a federal law that requires environmental reviews for certain projects, but it often delays projects that would improve environmental quality.
  • Think tanks have proposed various reforms to NEPA, such as extending favorable treatment to renewable energy projects, limiting judicial review, and creating special “corridors” with reduced permitting requirements.
  • Defenders of NEPA argue that it is necessary to protect the environment, and that delays are often due to other environmental regulations or lack of bureaucratic capacity.
  • They also suggest that NEPA can be a tool for speeding up decisions by coordinating information sharing between agencies.
  • NEPA is seen as a major obstacle to rapid deep decarbonization of the US economy.
  • Reforms to NEPA have been proposed, such as increasing agency staffing, using programmatic Environmental Impact Statements, allowing more renewable projects to use Environment Assessments and Categorical Exclusions, imposing time limits on some NEPA reviews, and requiring agencies to consider the positive environmental effects of a construction project.
  • James W. Coleman suggests that Congress should step in to restore a balance between making reviews more predictable and timelier while maintaining their rigor, and that energy projects should receive expedited review in the D.C. Circuit, with permits eventually being immunized from invalidation under NEPA if they are forced to wait an unreasonable length of time.

Click HERE for original. Published December 9, 2022

Why I’m Less Than Infinitely Hostile To Cryptocurrency [Astral Codex Ten]

W
  • Crypto has clear use cases in the developing world, where banking systems are often unreliable or inaccessible.
  • Scam rates in the crypto industry appear to be low, with no rug-pull-style scams among the 54 projects described in four articles from 2015-2020.
  • Investing in the top crypto projects of 2015 would have yielded a return of 25x, while the biggest cryptocurrencies by market cap of 2020 would have yielded a return of 2.7x.
  • Crypto is a technology with many legitimate uses, but is often associated with scams due to its long tail of fraudulent projects.
  • Crypto can be used as a form of insurance against authoritarianism, as it allows users to circumvent oppressive financial regulations.
  • Crypto is worse than the regular financial system in many ways, but its decentralization makes it useful for certain applications.
  • Crypto believers and detractors often focus on its ability to go up in value, but it can also be used for other purposes.
  • People in developed countries with good banking systems may not need crypto, but it can still be useful for those in less fortunate situations.

Click HERE for original. Published December 8, 2022

Yes, Supply and Demand Applies to Computer Science Degrees [Freddie deBoer]

Y
  • Supply and demand applies to computer science degrees, just like any other field.
  • The more people with computer science degrees, the lower the entry-level wages and the more competitive the job market.
  • Despite the “learn to code” movement, computer science degrees still have enviable outcomes in the job market, but there is a natural cap on the number of people who can enter the field.

Click HERE for original. Published December 8, 2022

Amtrak should build a good train [Matthew Yglesias, Slow Boring]

A
  • Amtrak should focus on building a true high-speed rail infrastructure along the Northeast Corridor, connecting Washington, D.C. to New York and Boston via Baltimore, Philadelphia, New Haven, and Providence.
  • The Northeast Corridor has the potential to be one of the world’s great high-speed train markets due to its large cities and relatively short distances between them.
  • Building a strong Northeast Corridor route would not only benefit passengers, but also help relieve airport congestion in the region.
  • Amtrak should consider extending the Northeast Corridor to Richmond, Raleigh, Charlotte, and Atlanta, as well as to Toronto and other cities in the Midwest.

Click HERE for original. Published December 8, 2022

What’s Wrong With Parenting in America—and How to Fix It Emily Oster, ParentData]

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  • Jessica Grose and Yael Schonbrun discuss parenting in America, the problems and how to fix them.
  • Jessica Grose’s book, Screaming on the Inside: The Unsustainability of American Motherhood, looks at the unreasonable expectations put on American mothers and how many of them are contradictory.
  • Yael Schonbrun’s book, Work, Parent, Thrive: 12 Science-Backed Strategies to Ditch Guilt, Manage Overwhelm, and Grow Connection (When Everything Feels Like Too Much), focuses on working parenthood and how to build the positive in order to make social progress.
  • The problem American parents are facing is that there is too much expected of them and not enough time, money, or social support to do it.
  • Yael’s Buddhist allegory of the first and second arrow explains how we can be mindful of the things we can’t control and less judgmental of ourselves.
  • Jessica Grose and Yael Schonbrun discussed structural issues and ways to optimize within current structures to make parenting and work easier.
  • Changes like paid leave are likely to happen in the next 20 years.
  • Technology can make work more flexible, but it will take time to adjust.
  • Subtracting from an overly full schedule can reduce stress.
  • Guilt is a normal emotion, but it is important to assess whether it is based on a real harm.

Click HERE for original. Published December 8, 2022

The dream of bringing back Bell Labs [Noah Smith, Noahpinion]

T
  • Bell Labs was a famous corporate lab in the mid 20th century that was responsible for many breakthrough discoveries.
  • The rise of university research and the decline of corporate labs has changed the way America innovates.
  • There are attractive features of big corporate labs that the new innovation supply chain might lack, such as multi-disciplinary research and focus on general-purpose technologies.
  • A national electrical utility, Energy Bell, could potentially be a way to bring back something akin to the old Bell Labs.
  • The university-DARPA-startup innovation system is likely here to stay, and should be focused on making it more efficient, purposeful, and well-integrated.

Click HERE for original. Published December 8, 2022

The real scandal inside Facebook’s cross-check program [Casey Newton, Platformer]

T
  • Facebook’s cross-check program has been criticized for offering unequal protection to some users, leading to the Meta Oversight Board investigating the program.
  • The board found that the program leads to unequal treatment of users, causes harm, and does not measure its effectiveness.
  • The board made 32 recommendations for the company, including developing stronger criteria for which accounts should be eligible for ERSR protections, making those criteria public, and allowing individuals to proactively apply for the program.
  • The board also recommends that Facebook build more capacity to ensure it’s actually reviewing posts in the GSR queue.

Published December 6, 2022

Visit Platformer to read Casey Newton’s original post

AI Homework [Ben Thompson, Stratechery]

A
  • OpenAI’s ChatGPT is a free AI-powered chatbot that uses GPT-3 language model and Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) to generate text.
  • It has sparked an explosion of interest in AI and its potential impact on society.
  • OpenAI’s API is a leader in terms of offering access to AI capabilities, but its cost limits exploration and discovery.
  • ChatGPT is a threat to homework, as it can generate “original” text from regurgitation for free.
  • AI output is probabilistic, unlike calculators which are deterministic, and it is important to catch it when it gets it wrong.
  • AI-generated content is a step beyond user-generated content, but currently has a low rate of accuracy.
  • Stack Overflow has temporarily banned the use of ChatGPT to create posts on the site.
  • The role of the human in terms of AI is not to be the interrogator, but rather the editor.
  • Homework assignments should focus on verifying and editing AI-generated answers, rather than regurgitating them.
  • Zero trust information is the only systematic response to Internet misinformation that is compatible with a free society.

Click HERE for original. Published December 5, 2022

Who Cares Where the Holidays Come From, If the God They Celebrate is Dead? [Freddie deBoer]

W
  • Atheists have shifted from being disrespectful towards believers to being overly respectful, engaging in a ritual of debunking the idea that Christmas is a reappropriation of pagan or Roman holidays.
  • This disdain for arguments about the pagan roots of Christian religious practice is a prototypical example of the current turn in atheism.
  • This shift has caused atheists to neglect the essential tasks of atheism, such as arguing for the non-existence of a supernatural deity and attempting to limit the destructive power of religion.
  • This shift has been caused by the New Atheists becoming politically right-coded, and atheists now scrambling to disavow them.
  • Ultimately, this is a classic example of an essential question: which is worse, insult or condescension?

Click HERE for original. Published December 5, 2022

Where Does Data Come From? [Emily Oster, ParentData]

W
  • Data for population characteristics like obesity rate is usually collected from surveys, such as the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES).
  • NHANES is designed as a representative sample, but non-response can create imbalances in the data that need to be addressed with reweighting.
  • Re-weighting adjusts for differences between the sample and the overall population by giving more weight to characteristics that are underrepresented in the sample.
  • Non-response can lead to selection bias, which can make it difficult to draw precise conclusions from survey data.

Click HERE for original. Published December 5, 2022

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