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Why Aren’t More People Running for President? [Russell Berman, The Atlantic]

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• Joe Biden will deliver the State of the Union address at the start of his third year in office, but there are currently no other declared presidential candidates.
• Nikki Haley is expected to kick off her campaign in Charleston next week, and other potential Republican candidates include Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence, and Mike Pompeo.
• Biden has been content to use the new House Republican majority as a foil, and his State of the Union address will likely focus on conciliation over confrontation.
• Biden allies expect him to formally announce his reelection bid sometime after the State of the Union, but it could still be months away.
• No Democrats of note have made any moves to challenge Biden for the nomination, and Republicans in Iowa and New Hampshire are hoping to ensure that the GOP does not leave them behind.

Published February 4, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Russell Berman’s original post Why Aren’t More People Running for President?

TGIF: 99 Spy Balloons [Nellie Bowles, The Free Press]

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Create a short summary of the article above using bullet points. Please include some interesting relevant details.

• Trump distances himself from the best thing he did: Operation Warp Speed, which cut through bureaucratic red tape.
• Nikki Haley is about to announce her presidential run.
• Covid emergency era ends in May.
• House GOP to investigate Biden and his family, gain-of-function research, and various China-related issues.
• Chinese spy balloon seen over Billings, Montana.
• Paul Pelosi attacked at home by a lunatic.
• Gawker shuts down for the second time.
• Massachusetts offering prisoners reduced sentences for donating organs.
• Hispanic Democrats want to ban Latinx from state documents.
• AP test in African American History has been the center of the latest education skirmish.
• President of Heritage calling to cut military spending.
• French had a funny response to being told their name is racist.
• Hamilton 68 dashboard for tracking “Russian disinformation” turns out to be a total fraud.
• George Santos (Brazilian drag queen and serial fabulist Kitara Ravanche) resigns from House committees.
• Washington Post publishes an essay about how objectivity in newsgathering is bad.
• Newsroom leaders across the country agree that objectivity has to go.
• The Free Press is offering a sweepstakes prize of a one-on-one Zoom with the editor-in-chief.
• The Supreme Court case of Masterpiece Cakeshop in Colorado, where the baker refused to make a same-sex wedding cake, was recently revisited.
• The baker lost the case again, and the article suggests that other bakers should be sought out instead.

Published February 3, 2023
Visit The Free Press to read Nellie Bowles’s original post TGIF: 99 Spy Balloons

The NFL is Structurally Broken [Freddie deBoer, Freddie deBoer’s Substack]

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• The image above shows a moment that could have determined the champion of the 2022-2023 NFL season, when Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes was tackled in a very awkward fashion, resulting in a high ankle sprain.
• Every team in the league has injury problems, but not all to the same extent.
• The Super Bowl will feature the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles, both of whom have had to work through their own set of injuries.
• The Buffalo Bills, San Francisco 49ers, Cincinnati Bengals, and Tennessee Titans have all had to deal with numerous injuries this season.
• The author argues that the playoffs are not a fair system for determining the best team, but rather a roulette wheel rewarding the team lucky enough to be the most healthy.
• The NFL is still incredibly profitable, but the author is finding it harder and harder to feel invested in the outcome due to the constant injuries.

Published February 3, 2023
Visit Freddie deBoer’s Substack to read Freddie deBoer’s original post The NFL is Structurally Broken

This Is Not 1943 [George Packer, The Atlantic]

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• Vladimir Putin visited Stalingrad to commemorate the 80th anniversary of the Soviet victory over Nazi Germany.
• Putin’s purpose was to connect the past war to the present one, and to rouse Russian pride and warn his enemies of their coming doom.
• Putin’s actions are compared to those of Adolf Hitler in 1938, when he annexed Austria and the Sudetenland.
• Putin’s lies are compared to Hitler’s, and the article suggests that Putin is using propaganda as projection to immunize himself from having a more plausible charge flung at him.
• The article suggests that Germany’s decision to send tanks to Ukraine is part of their long reckoning with their crimes.

Published February 3, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read George Packer’s original post This Is Not 1943

The Stubborn Pathology of Police Culture [David A. Graham, The Atlantic]

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• Reverend Earle Fisher preached at Trinity Christian Methodist Episcopal on Sunday, two days after the release of video footage of the fatal beating of Tyre Nichols by five police officers.
• Fisher connected a passage in the Gospel of Mark to the present day, critiquing the crowd for not asking why there are so many sick people.
• Despite the quick response from Memphis officials, Memphians worry about whether policing in Memphis can and will change more fundamentally.
• Memphis is both underpoliced and overpoliced, with activists pressing for reform of the troubled police department and a sharp rise in violent crime.
• Five officers have been charged with second-degree murder, two officers have been suspended, and two sheriff’s deputies and three firefighters have been fired.
• Memphis activists are celebrating the swift response, but they are also pushing for more fundamental changes to the police department.
• Bishop Marvin Frank Thomas Sr. said that it’s not the color of the officers, but the culture of the police department that needs to change.
• The article discusses the death of Tyre Nichols, a Black man who was killed by police officers in Memphis, Tennessee.
• The officers were part of the SCORPION unit, a specialized police unit that was supposed to be a marquee crime-fighting initiative.
• The unit has been disbanded, but many people are skeptical that it will stay that way.
• The article also discusses the current police chief, C. J. Davis, who is the first Black female police chief in the city’s history.
• Critics say that Davis is a puppet of the mayor and that she has no power to make real changes to the police department.
• The article also discusses the protests that have taken place in response to Nichols’ death, as well as the people who have visited the spot where he was killed.

Published February 3, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read David A. Graham’s original post The Stubborn Pathology of Police Culture

The Economy Is Still Very, Very Weird [Derek Thompson, The Atlantic]

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– The US economy has been in a state of “weirdness” since the start of the coronavirus pandemic.
– This has been characterized by a “yo-yo economy” of historic highs and lows in various industries.
– Examples include gas prices, durable goods, used cars, savings, housing, tech, and microchips.
– The pandemic has caused a mismatch between supply and demand, with companies struggling to anticipate and satisfy consumer preferences.
– The legacy of the yo-yo economy could be profound, with the Biden administration embracing policies to make America stronger, richer, greener, and less reliant on supply chains.

Published February 3, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Derek Thompson’s original post The Economy Is Still Very, Very Weird

The Slow-Motion Murder of Mikheil Saakashvili [Anne Applebaum, The Atlantic]

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• Mikheil Saakashvili, the former Georgian president, has been in prison for 16 months and has lost 90 pounds.
• He has traces of arsenic, mercury, and other toxins in his hair and nail clippings, and has mild brain damage and seizures.
• He is on a strange medical regimen that includes 14 different drugs, some of which are not approved for sale in the US.
• Saakashvili was notable for pushing his country in the direction of Western liberal democracy and breaking the power of the post-Soviet mafia.
• Putin loathed him and his political program, and reportedly once said Saakashvili should be “hung by his balls.”
• Saakashvili was arrested on trumped-up charges, and his supporters believe this is the real reason for his slow torment.
• The ruling Georgian Dream party has said that Saakashvili is in prison because he would cause trouble for them if he were free.
• The party has also imprisoned Nika Gvaramia, the director of an independent television station, and put pressure on judges.
• The European Union has formally recognized Ukraine and Moldova as candidates for membership but spurned Georgia.
• The quantity of what appears to be sanctions-busting cargo flowing through Georgia to Russia has surged in the first half of 2022.
• Saakashvili’s lawyer and family are asking the government to release him on humanitarian grounds and let him transfer to a hospital in Europe or the US.

Published February 3, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Anne Applebaum’s original post The Slow-Motion Murder of Mikheil Saakashvili

 

Who Will Replace Dianne Feinstein? [Ronald Brownstein, The Atlantic]

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• Senator Dianne Feinstein has not yet announced whether she is retiring, but the race to replace her has already begun.
• The 2024 contest will be the first wide-open Democratic Senate primary in California since 1992, when Feinstein was first elected to the seat.
• The field is quickly getting crowded with U.S. Representatives Adam Schiff, Katie Porter, and Barbara Lee expected to join.
• The contest will offer voters a choice between three distinct eras of Democratic thinking: Porter, Schiff, and Lee.
• A Democrat is almost guaranteed to win the Senate seat in 2024, as California hasn’t elected a Republican senator since 1988.
• Female candidates have often had an advantage in California Democratic primaries due to women accounting for close to 60% of Democratic voters.
• Porter and Schiff have similar voting records, but Porter is seen as a more committed progressive and crusading champion.
• Lee may further hinder Porter’s ability to consolidate liberal voters due to her uncompromising liberal profile.
• Geography is also a factor, as candidates from Northern California have often beaten those from the south in statewide Democratic primaries.
• All candidates will need to expand beyond the MSNBC/Democratic Twitter base to reach millions of voters who are not paying attention now.
• Most California experts give Schiff a slight edge, but all expect a dynamic and unpredictable contest.

Published February 3, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Ronald Brownstein’s original post Who Will Replace Dianne Feinstein?

Mostly Skeptical Thoughts On The Chatbot Propaganda Apocalypse [Scott Alexander, Astral Codex Ten]

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• People worry about chatbot propaganda, but Alex Berenson already writes arguments against COVID vaccines and is much better than chatbots.
• Philosophy Bear discusses a broader chatbot propaganda apocalypse, which can be divided into two scenarios: Medium Bad and Very Bad.
• There are already plenty of social and technological anti-bot filters, and fear of backlash will limit adoption.
• Propagandabots spreading disinformation is probably the opposite of what people should worry about, and realistically most bots will be used for crypto scams.
• Bots will crowd out other bots, and most slots will be filled by bots promoting non-political topics.
• The article discusses the potential implications of using evil chatbots for malicious purposes.
• It suggests that chatbots could be used to trick people into believing they are talking to a real person.
• The author expresses concern that chatbots could decrease serendipitous friendship and make people more reluctant to open new conversations or start new friendships.
• The author predicts that in 2030, fewer than 10% of people will have had a good friend for more than a month who turned out to be a chatbot.
• The author also predicts that in 2030, the majority of the top 10 blogs in Substack’s Politics category will be written by humans.

Published February 2, 2023
Visit Astral Codex Ten to read Scott Alexander’s original post Mostly Skeptical Thoughts On The Chatbot Propaganda Apocalypse

 

Americans have been gaining weight for as long as records exist [Matthew Yglesias, Slow Boring]

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• Obesity has been a growing problem since the late 19th century, not just since 1980.
• The population aging has a mechanical impact on average obesity that is unrelated to changes in diet and nutrition.
• The average Americans’ weight change since the 1980s is startling, but the data suggests a much more boring story about a long-term increase in average weight punctuated by the Great Depression and World War II.
• Food insecurity was incredibly common for most of human history, but now spending on groceries has plummeted as a share of household spending.
• Food is also better across many dimensions of betterness, from ultra-processed junk food to home cooking.
• The downside to living in a society with a great deal of material abundance is that it is much less common to need to choose between going hungry and eating something you don’t like.

Published February 2, 2023
Visit Slow Boring to read Matthew Yglesias’s original post Americans have been gaining weight for as long as records exist

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