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Check out the latest from Astral Codex Ten, Stratechery, Peter Zeihan, Slow Boring, Noahpinion.

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Latest stories

New Bing, and an Interview with Kevin Scott and Sam Altman About the Microsoft-OpenAI Partnership [Ben Thompson, Stratechery]

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• Microsoft and OpenAI have been in a partnership for 3.5 years.
• Kevin Scott and Sam Altman have known each other since Sam tried to recruit Kevin to be the Head of Engineering at his startup, Loopt.
• Microsoft and OpenAI have a shared vision of powerful models that can be used as platforms to develop lots of things on top of.
• Microsoft believes OpenAI is the best AI team pound-for-pound on the planet.
• OpenAI can focus on their work while Microsoft helps them commercialize their products.
• OpenAI and Microsoft have a successful partnership that has allowed them to accomplish a lot of amazing things.
• The goals of OpenAI and Microsoft are compatible and not overlapping, allowing them to work together efficiently.
• The partnership between OpenAI and Microsoft is not a simple “throw it over the wall” situation, but rather a close collaboration at each step.
• CoPilot was the first project that required collaboration between three organizations, and it was a learning experience for all involved.
• Sam Altman and Kevin Scott discussed the success of the Microsoft-OpenAI partnership and the cost and business models associated with the new Bing product.
• Sam believes that the partnership works best when both parties trust and like each other and work together in good faith.
• Kevin believes that Microsoft has the ability to performance-optimize the product and bring it to market as an ad-supported product.
• Sam believes that the two companies will be able to figure out a way to monetize the product profitably.
• The two discussed the new Bing product and how it may require new interaction models to be successful.
• Sam gave credit to Kevin for his commitment to the partnership and the flexibility of both companies to make it work.

Published February 8, 2023
Visit Stratechery to read Ben Thompson’s original post New Bing, and an Interview with Kevin Scott and Sam Altman About the Microsoft-OpenAI Partnership

This book is considered pornography in Ron DeSantis’ Florida [Judd Legum, Popular Information]

T

• Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) and the Florida Department of Education have imposed sweeping new restrictions on books in public schools, both in libraries and in classrooms.
• Duval County Public Schools, which includes Jacksonville and the surrounding area, has enthusiastically embraced the task of complying with DeSantis’ new mandates.
• One book reviewed in Duval County and banned from school libraries was *The Best Man*, a book about a boy’s journey into the middle school years and the male role models in his life.
• The reviewer, Michelle DiBias, believes that, based on the book’s content, a teacher or librarian that made *The Best Man* available to students could be charged with a third-degree felony.
• Common Sense Media, an independent non-profit that evaluates books and other entertainment for parents and schools, gives *The Best Man* its lowest rating for “”Sex, Romance, & Nudity,”” meaning that reviewers found nothing objectionable.
• Duval County schools are also reviewing all books for compliance with the Parental Rights in Education Act, also known as “”Don’t Say Gay.””
• Books that have been rejected by Duval County schools, according to public records, include *Separate is Never Equal: Sylvia Mendez & Her Family’s Fight for Desegregation*, *My Name is Sally Little Song*, *Pride: The Story of Harvey Milk and the Rainbow Flag*, *Stonewall*, *10,000 Dresses*, and *The Flag of Childhood*.

Published February 8, 2023
Visit Popular Information to read Judd Legum’s original post This book is considered pornography in Ron DeSantis’ Florida

Embracing God to Own the Libs [Shadi Hamid, The Free Press]

E

• Andrew Tate was the most googled person in the US in 2022, and had a massive following online, especially among young men and the far-right.
• He was arrested in Romania on sex-trafficking charges, but had previously converted to Islam.
• Muslim reaction to his conversion was split, reflecting the growing divide between “woke” and “anti-woke” Muslims.
• Tate’s conversion is an example of a growing phenomenon called “political conversions”, where people are drawn to a religion for its political associations rather than its spiritual beliefs.
• This is especially true of evangelical Christians, who are increasingly drawn to the GOP, and of Muslims, who are drawn to Islam for its resistance to progressive norms.
• Religion is never just about religion, and the decoupling of politics and faith is an invention of the modern West.
• The all-consuming political divide in America today is less about politics than culture, and religion shapes our habits, norms, and attitudes.

Published February 8, 2023
Visit Popular Information to read Judd Legum’s original post This book is considered pornography in Ron DeSantis’ Florida

February 7, 2023 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters from an American]

F

• President Joe Biden’s 2023 State of the Union address was watched by 38.2 million people.
• Biden offered to work across the aisle and outlined a moderate plan for the nation with a wide range of popular programs.
• Republicans refused to clap for Biden’s successes and heckled, catcalled, and booed him.
• Biden called for higher taxes on corporations and the wealthy, and asked Congress to commit to never questioning the full faith and credit of the United States.
• Biden tricked Republicans into a public declaration of support for protecting Social Security and Medicare.
• Biden praised Republican president George W. Bush’s bipartisan $100 billion investment in HIV/AIDS prevention and treatment.
• Arkansas governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders gave the Republican rebuttal, full of references to the culture wars and scathing of Biden.

Published February 8, 2023
Visit Letters from an American to read Heather Cox Richardson’s original post February 7, 2023

The History Behind the Chinese Spy Balloon [Garrett M. Graff, The Atlantic]

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• Balloons have been used for spying and bombing since World War I, and German zeppelins regularly crossed the English Channel to drop hand grenades or small bombs on London.
• During World War II, Japan lofted about 9,000 balloon bombs toward the West Coast in 1944 and 1945, hoping to spread fear, ignite forest fires, and bring the war to America’s homeland.
• At the end of World War II, the arrival of the nuclear bomb meant that an entire city could be vaporized by a lone attacker arriving out of the blue sky.
• In 1947, reports of a mysterious flight of objects over the Cascades in the Pacific Northwest touched off a summer of excited, panicked UFO sightings.
• In 1952, the Air Force’s UFO-investigation program, Project Blue Book, figured out that Captain Thomas F. Mantell, a World War II pilot, had most likely been chasing a Navy weather balloon when he crashed.
• In the postwar era, balloons represented cutting-edge military technology, and the U.S. had multiple secret balloon projects under way.
• Today, sophisticated surveillance systems have failed to spot the forays of other Chinese balloons, and the U.S. military deployed an F-22 to shoot down the modern version of the first aerial weapon the country ever faced.

Published February 8, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Garrett M. Graff’s original post The History Behind the Chinese Spy Balloon

Don’t ‘Buy American’ [Derek Thompson, The Atlantic]

D

• The U.S. is embracing a new economic theory of “Buy American” to ensure that the U.S. doesn’t rely on flimsy supply chains for key materials, especially those that pass through our adversaries’ borders.
• This policy can have advantages such as funneling money to domestic businesses in important industries, theoretically raising the wages of workers in those sectors, and letting the government support the development of crucial technology and infrastructure.
• However, Buy American policies can have several downsides such as raising costs, making key supply chains less resilient, hurting innovation, and damaging global alliances.
• The article suggests that the U.S. should be explicit about the trade-offs that come from explicitly protectionist policies and should focus on delivering political and human outcomes such as plentiful, cheap, low-emission electricity produced by more clean-energy infrastructure in an economy with full unemployment and rising real wages.

Published February 8, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Derek Thompson’s original post Don’t ‘Buy American’

How Biden Successfully Baited Congressional Republicans [David Frum, The Atlantic]

H

• In 2009, Republican Congressman Joe Wilson shouted “You lie!” during President Barack Obama’s speech to a joint session of Congress, shocking viewers.
• More than a decade later, Republicans heckled and shouted during President Joe Biden’s State of the Union address.
• Biden used the interruptions to reinforce his message, accusing “some” Republicans of plotting to sunset Social Security and Medicare.
• Biden’s speech was based on shrewd and unapologetic hyper-partisanship, pushing Republicans on pain point after pain point.
• Biden also bid against Republicans on economic nationalism, equating imports with job losses and exports with job gains.
• Biden’s speech was less a plan of action and more a plan of attack for the next election, as he hopes to contest it.

Published February 7, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read David Frum’s original post How Biden Successfully Baited Congressional Republicans

Geopolitical Impact of Natural Disasters: Ice Storm Edition [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

G

Michael Navrystery is the Director of Analysis at Signing Geopolitics based out of Austin, Texas
Recent cold weather has caused a significant ice storm leading to tree limbs falling down around the city
Utility poles, cables, coatings, and transformers are all part of the global supply chain coming from various sources
Copper ore is primarily produced out of Chile with wires made in the US, Germany, or Japan; coatings come from the Gulf Coast
• With the cold weather in Texas in Feb 2021, the chemicals industry faced delays of months to a year
• Transformers are made of steel and other technical components with the largest exporter being China
• With EU and China upheaval, U.S. sourcing managers face higher costs, longer lead times, and greater delays
• Solutions will take time and capital to restore and move components to North America, with increased investment in the industry necessary to eliminate risk.

Published February 8, 2023
Visit YouTube to read Peter Zeihan’s original vlog Geopolitical Impact of Natural Disasters: Ice Storm Edition

The Ray Allen Story [Freddie deBoer, Freddie deBoer’s Substack]

T

• The author and his then-girlfriend went to see The Bourne Ultimatum in 2007.
• NBA star Ray Allen and two other women joined them in the theater.
• Allen asked the author what he had missed in the movie.
• Allen’s wife and the other woman started chatting, leaving Allen feeling lonely.
• Allen dropped his Blackberry and the author got down to help him look for it.
• The author found himself wedged between a movie theater seat and Allen’s torso.
• Allen eventually found his Blackberry and the group left as soon as the credits started to roll.
• The author and his girlfriend almost broke up that night.
• The author will never forget the surreal experience.

Published February 7, 2023
Visit Freddie deBoer’s Substack to read Freddie deBoer’s original post The Ray Allen Story

Real-world Engineering Challenges #8: Breaking up a Monolith [Gergely Orosz, The Pragmatic Engineer]

R

• Khan Academy is a US-based non-profit education provider, which teaches students about math, art, computing and many other topics for free.
• In 2017, the engineering team started experimenting with GraphQL for their API and decided to deprecate the REST interface and migrate existing endpoints to GraphQL.
• Python 2’s end-of-life announcement was the final spur to start the project and the team chose to move over to Go, largely for its first-class support in the Google App Engine, and the simplicity and consistency of its language and performance.
• The project was split into two parts: Phase 1: Minimum Viable Experience and Phase 2: endgame.
• The team chose a “field by field” approach for the migration, with the first migrated service being the simplest; a service hosting a single field.
• The migration strategy applied a similar side-by-side testing approach to all services, with optional shadowing of traffic on the new Go service and side-by-side testing of GraphQL services.
• The project took 3.5 years to complete, with around 100 software engineers working on it.
• Khan Academy migrated from Python to Go, a process which took 3.5 years and involved 100 engineers.
• The team used a side-by-side migration approach, which allowed them to track the percentage of traffic served from the new system.
• Engineers liked Go for its ease of reading and writing, documentation, tooling, and compiler speed.
• Performance was excellent compared to Python, with the service hour cost of operating the same code on Python and Go being up to 10 times cheaper for certain types of requests.
• The team kept shipping incrementally and only one service was allowed to write a given piece of data.
• The project was treated as a fixed scope, fixed timeline project, which was the right choice in hindsight.
• Switching to a brand-new language for the rewrite was worth it in the end, but the team played loose with the “port things exactly as they are” approach when it came to internal tools.
• Kevin Dangoor and Brian Anderson, two engineers from Khan Academy, shared their learnings from a 3 year-long project to migrate from a Python monolith to Go services and GraphQL.
• The team defined a “minimum viable experience” to help them focus and prioritize the right things.
• The team estimated the MVE phase would take about 2 years, and completed it almost exactly as per their original estimate two years previously.
• The migration added complexity in several ways, such as changing languages from Python to Go, moving to new versions of Google Cloud APIs, and splitting control of the data.
• Hard deadlines can be motivational, and having a hard deadline forced the team to align in creative ways to ensure a ‘critical path.’
• Just because you have services, you cannot ignore the broader ecosystem.
• Long-running migrations often feel thankless, never-ending and frustrating.
• To be a great product engineer, it’s worth familiarizing yourself on how to do migrations, so you can do them more efficiently and reliably.

Published February 7, 2023
Visit The Pragmatic Engineer to read Gergely Orosz’s original post Real-world Engineering Challenges #8: Breaking up a Monolith

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