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Latest stories

Peter Zeihan – The Solar Power Problem(s) [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

P

Solar intensity around the world varies drastically, making it difficult to use solar to generate meaningful amounts of electricity and reduce carbon footprints.
Denver, Colorado is one of the best places in the world for solar due to its sunny climate, clear skies, and lack of heavy air pollution.
Current solar technology is not efficient enough to make solar feasible in many places, especially densely populated cities.
To make solar viable, more efficient solar panels must be developed, transmission lines must be built, and high velocity capital must be available to finance solar projects.

Published February 6, 2023
Visit YouTube to read Peter Zeihan’s original vlog Peter Zeihan – The Solar Power Problem(s)

The Institutional Arsonist Turns on His Own Party [Peter Wehner, The Atlantic]

T

• Donald Trump may lose the GOP presidential primary and, out of spite, wreck Republican prospects in 2024.
• A *Bulwark* poll found that a large majority of Republicans are ready to move on from Trump, but more than a quarter of likely Republican voters are ready to follow Trump to a third-party bid.
• Trump has flirted with third-party runs before, including in 2000, and he refused to rule out a third-party run in 2015.
• Trump has no attachment to the Republican Party or, as best as one can tell, to anything or anyone else.
• Trump could ensure that Republican presidential and congressional candidates lose simply by criticizing them during the campaign, accusing the Republican Party of disloyalty, and signaling to his supporters that they should sit out the election.
• House Republicans have elevated and showcased Marjorie Taylor Greene, who has embraced QAnon conspiracy theories, insisted that 9/11 was an inside job, and voiced support for executing prominent Democrats.
• Republicans will abandon Trump only when he’s deemed to be a surefire political loser.
• Donald Trump delights in watching the world burn.

Published February 5, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Peter Wehner’s original post The Institutional Arsonist Turns on His Own Party

The Chinese Spy Balloon Over My House [Walter Kirn, The Free Press]

T

• Montanans spotted a Chinese spy balloon hovering above the state’s missile silos and bases, prompting a minor national panic.
• The federal government was already aware of the balloon, but had kept it on the “down-low” in order to not disrupt a meeting between Secretary of State Antony Blinken and high Chinese officials.
• The incident sparked stereotypes about Montanans being quick to anger and hostile to outsiders.
• A few weeks prior, a New York Times article had portrayed Montana as a quasi-fascist state, which the author of the article claims is exaggerated.
• The author reflects on the state’s lack of power and influence, and how Montanans are often portrayed in a negative light by the media.
• Despite this, the author is proud of Montanans for spotting the balloon and raising an alarm.

Published February 5, 2023
Visit The Free Press to read Walter Kirn’s original post The Chinese Spy Balloon Over My House

American Christianity Is Due for a Revival [Timothy Keller, The Atlantic]

A

• In the late 1980s, the author noticed many churches in New York City being repurposed or torn down due to dwindling membership and cultural attitudes toward Christianity.
• The Pew Research Center projected that the percentage of Christians in the U.S. could plunge to less than half the population by 2070.
• Sociologists such as Émile Durkheim and Jonathan Haidt have argued that religion contributes to society in ways that cannot be readily supplied by other sources.
• Robert Bellah showed that American individualism is headed toward social fragmentation, economic inequality, and family breakdown without the counterbalance of religion.
• Churches provide community and support to people in their congregations and serve neighbors who do not attend church.
• The Church can experience a revival if it learns how to speak compellingly to non-Christian people, unites justice and righteousness, and embraces the global and multiethnic character of Christianity.
• The Church in the U.S. can grow again if it strikes a dynamic balance between innovation and conservation.
• Modern secularism holds that people are only physical entities without souls, but most people feel that life is greater than what can be accounted for by naturalistic explanations.
• Christianity offers grace and covenant, which is based on unconditional love and sacrificial service.
• The Church must escape from political captivity, engage in extraordinary prayer, and distinguish the gospel from moralism.
• Eric Liddell, the former Olympic star and missionary to China, was an example of how the gospel of sheer grace through Christ can produce love.

Published February 5, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Timothy Keller’s original post American Christianity Is Due for a Revival

February 4, 2023 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters from an American]

F

• A U.S. Air Force F-22 fighter jet fired a missile to shoot down a Chinese spy balloon 6 miles off the South Carolina coast.
• The balloon had been flying above the U.S. for the last four days and was the size of three buses and weighed more than 1,000 pounds.
• U.S. defense officials took steps to protect against the balloon’s collection of sensitive information and the Navy will recover the equipment from the shallow waters where it fell.
• It is believed that the balloon was trying to gather intelligence information and the incident has been used by Republicans to score political points.
• Secretary of State Antony Blinken canceled his planned visit to Beijing over the incident and it has offered Biden’s opponents an opportunity to say he is not countering China strongly enough.

Published February 5, 2023
Visit Letters from an American to read Heather Cox Richardson’s original post February 4, 2023

Elan Lee, Co-Creator of Exploding Kittens [Tim Ferriss]

E

• Elan Lee is a game designer, Primetime Emmy, Peabody Award, and IndieCade Trailblazer Award winner.
• He believes the most important part of a game is the core gameplay loop and that games are tools for people to have fun with each other.
• He and his team developed Poetry for Neanderthals, which uses single syllable words to translate sentences.
• They used the Kitty Test Pilots program to test prototypes and provide feedback.
• Exploding Kittens was described as Russian roulette with a deck of cards.
• The Kickstarter campaign raised almost $9 million.
• Elan believes in creating a core gameplay loop and building the surrounding components to emphasize it.
• He recommends playing Poetry for Neanderthals, SET, and Settlers of Catan.
• Exploding Kittens started out as a 100% direct-to-consumer business, but now retail accounts for 60%.
• Elan met his mentor, Jordan Weisman, at Microsoft and they started a clothing company.
• Elan warns against stretch goals that involve manufacturing and fulfillment.
• Exploding Kittens was a huge success on Kickstarter and Amazon.
• Elan and his team have put systems in place to remain in control of the company.
• Elan is passionate about creating tools to bring joy to people’s lives and partnering with people who have a genuine love for their audience.
• Tim Ferriss believes it is important to be aware of the seduction of the algorithm.

Published February 4, 2023
Visit The Tim Ferriss Show to find the original interview Elan Lee, Co-Creator of Exploding Kittens

Chartbook #194 Can Beijing halt China’s housing avalanche? The most important economic-policy question for 2023?

C

• China’s real estate sector is facing a crisis, with developers defaulting on bonds and a large backlog of troubled projects.
• The construction boom has been the main driver of China’s unbalanced, investment-heavy, consumption-poor growth.
• In the late 1990s, real estate accounted for 8% of GDP, but by 2021 it had risen to 25%.
• In a single generation, China has built enough homes to house a billion people.
• The IMF report shows the Chinese authorities in a relatively calm mood, but Western observers are skeptical.
• Beijing has shifted from a restrictive and deflationary course to one of re-stimulating the real estate economy.
• A key challenge to restoring confidence is the large backlog of partially built housing.
• To stabilize the Chinese real estate market, a commitment of 5% of GDP is needed.
• If Beijing succeeds in managing the fallout, it would be an example of macro-prudential economic management on a world historic scale.

Published February 5, 2023
Visit Chartbook to read Adam Tooze’s original post Chartbook #194 Can Beijing halt China’s housing avalanche? The most important economic-policy question for 2023?

February 3, 2023 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters from an American]

F

• Mike Pence recently proposed replacing the New Deal with a “better deal” by privatizing Social Security and cutting domestic spending.
• Republicans believe that cutting taxes and staying out of economic affairs will lead to wealth trickling down and creating more jobs.
• Mississippi Governor Tate Reeves refuses to accept an expansion of Medicaid, which is putting 38 rural hospitals in danger of collapsing.
• The Fifth Circuit recently ruled that a federal law prohibiting people who are under a domestic restraining order from owning a gun is unconstitutional.
• President Joe Biden and the Democrats are reviving the theory embraced by members of both parties between 1933 and 1981, which involves the federal government regulating business, providing a basic social safety net, investing in infrastructure, and protecting civil rights.
• Biden is also bringing supply chains home, rebuilding foreign alliances, and investing in research and development.
• The January 2021 jobs report showed an astonishing 517,000 new jobs added and unemployment falling to 3.4%.
• Biden believes that the next three to four years will determine what the country looks like for the next four to five decades.

Published February 4, 2023
Visit Letters from an American to read Heather Cox Richardson’s original post February 3, 2023

 

The French Are in a Panic Over “le Wokisme” [Thomas Chatterton Williams, The Atlantic]

T

• The Tocqueville Conversations was a two-day “taboo-free discussion” among public intellectuals about the crisis of Western democracies, with a focus on the American social-justice ideology known as “wokeness.”
• Rokhaya Diallo, a French West African journalist, social-justice activist, and media personality, was one of the few nonwhite speakers and the sole practicing Muslim.
• The French have long prided themselves on having a system of government that doesn’t recognize racial or ethnic designations, but recently American-style identity politics has piqued the interest of a new and more diverse generation.
• During the conference, Diallo argued that minority experiences may be more visible now thanks to social media, which poses a challenge to traditional “elite” knowledge production.
• Diallo was isolated from the rest of the panel and hissed at by the audience, and the moderator refused to concede even the theoretical possibility that any knowledge can be derived from identity.
• The incident caused the author to recalibrate some of his assumptions and appreciate more keenly just how easily anti-wokeness can succumb to a dogmatism as rigid as the one it seeks to oppose.
• In France, the controversy over “le wokisme” is almost always a proxy for a deeper concern about Islam and terror on the European continent, and those seen as permissive of wokeness are presumed to be indulging “islamo-gauchisme.”
• France’s vehement reaction to wokeism is shaped by its complex relationship with America and its own history of homegrown jihad and concerns about domineering Yankee influence.
• The New York Times’ headline following the beheading of Samuel Paty was seen as exonerating his assassin, which was painful for many French people of all ethnicities and religious affiliations.
• Macron and Blanquer, the Minister of National Education, have been consistent and powerful opponents of woke ideology, believing that treating women and minority groups as different and special is antithetical to equality.
• Blanquer’s rigid devotion to the principle of universalism entails a certain blindness to often valid minority concerns.
• Activists and those listening to them have looked to America for a vocabulary to express what is happening in their own country, whether or not that vocabulary fully makes sense.
• In 2010, the U.S. State Department invited French politicians and activists to a leadership program to help them strengthen the voice and representation of ethnic groups that have been excluded from government.
• The French elections last spring showed that an identity-driven illiberalism long active on the right is gaining force on the left, with significant numbers of minority voters feeling ignored and misunderstood.
• The French mainstream is correct to note that wokeness is philosophically incoherent and dangerous, as it subordinates human psychology to sweeping platitudes and self-certain dictates.
• Cancel culture is real in the U.S. and has been toxic to debate and institutional decision making.
• Resistance to wokeism’s more ambitious designs has been widespread and ethnically diverse.
• Suppressing wokeism in France has not gone well either.
• The goal should be to achieve genuine universalism, rather than to eliminate difference.
• The challenge is to channel woke impulses responsibly, while refusing to succumb to the myopia of group identity.
• The French model of universal citizenship is superior in principle, but the American reflex to interpret social life through imperfect notions of identity can still perceive real experiences that otherwise get dismissed.
• The future belongs to the multiethnic society that finds a way to synthesize the French and American models.

Published February 4, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Thomas Chatterton Williams’s original post The French Are in a Panic Over <em>le Wokisme</em>

Why Aren’t More People Running for President? [Russell Berman, The Atlantic]

W

• Joe Biden will deliver the State of the Union address at the start of his third year in office, but there are currently no other declared presidential candidates.
• Nikki Haley is expected to kick off her campaign in Charleston next week, and other potential Republican candidates include Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence, and Mike Pompeo.
• Biden has been content to use the new House Republican majority as a foil, and his State of the Union address will likely focus on conciliation over confrontation.
• Biden allies expect him to formally announce his reelection bid sometime after the State of the Union, but it could still be months away.
• No Democrats of note have made any moves to challenge Biden for the nomination, and Republicans in Iowa and New Hampshire are hoping to ensure that the GOP does not leave them behind.

Published February 4, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Russell Berman’s original post Why Aren’t More People Running for President?

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