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Check out the latest from Astral Codex Ten, Stratechery, Peter Zeihan, Slow Boring, Noahpinion.

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Latest stories

The true priorities of the global elite [Judd Legum, Popular Information]

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• The World Economic Forum (WEF) is an annual event in Davos, Switzerland, founded by German economist Klaus Schwab, which brings together the global elite to discuss global issues and solutions.
• Critics of the WEF argue that it is a networking opportunity used by the powerful to maintain and expand their wealth and influence, and that documents like the “Davos Manifesto” are meant to mask the true nature of the event.
• The last two years have been an economic windfall for the ultra-wealthy, with the richest 1% capturing almost two-thirds of all new wealth.
• Extreme wealth inequality is a policy choice, with taxes for the highest incomes, capital gains, and inheritance having all plummeted in wealthy countries since 1980.
• Billionaires often use the “buy, borrow, die” strategy to avoid taxation, and Senator Ron Wyden proposed a 23.8% tax on the unrealized capital gains of billionaires, which would have raised $507 billion over 10 years.
• The proposal was abandoned due to opposition from Senators Manchin and Sinema, as well as every Republican Senator, and global corporate taxes have fallen from an average of 47.5% in 1980 to 24.9% today.
• President Biden proposed a modest increase in the corporate tax rate from 21% to 25%, which would have helped fund climate investments and benefits for working families, but Sinema opposed the increase.

Published January 18, 2023
Visit Popular Information to read Judd Legum’s original post The true priorities of the global elite

Who is included by “inclusive” language? [Matthew Yglesias, Slow Boring]

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• The article discusses the use of etiquette in elite educational institutions, such as Carne and Harvard, and how it has changed over time.
• It compares the traditionalist religious schools to the Fancy-Pants Prep Schools, which primarily serve an elite demographic.
• It notes that many of these institutions have gone all-in on DEI rhetoric, despite their exclusive nature.
• It uses the example of eating an apple to illustrate the arbitrary folkways of the British elite.
• It references philosopher Liam Kofi Bright’s essay on culture wars as white psychodrama and how etiquette work is not enough to achieve real change in material conditions.
• It mentions a recent memo from the USC Suzanne Dworak-Peck School of Social Work about replacing the term “field” with “practicum” as part of an effort to be more inclusive.
• USC Suzanne Dworak-Peck School of Social Work recently announced they would replace the term “field” with “practicum” in order to be more inclusive and anti-racist.
• This change was met with criticism from right-wing circles and USC administrators.
• The author argues that language is always changing and that it is important to consider who is included and excluded by the language we use.
• They also point out that elite educational institutions often have their own codes of manners and language that are used to maintain an elite class and exclude those who are not up to date.

Published January 18, 2023
Visit Slow Boring to read Matthew Yglesias’s original post Who is included by “inclusive” language?

SSC Survey Results On Schooling Types [Scott Alexander, Astral Codex Ten]

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• 70.8% of SSC/ACX readers went to free government schools, 12.1% went to secular private-sector schools, 11.3% went to religious private-sector schools, 3.1% were home schooled, and 0.4% were unschooled.
• Home schoolers had the highest satisfaction with their schooling (7.04) and SAT scores (verbal: 756, math: 722).
• Life satisfaction was highest among home schoolers (6.72) and religious schoolers (6.65). Social satisfaction was highest among private schoolers (6.00).
• Home schoolers were more likely to be single (44%) than public schoolers (39%).
• Controlling for religion, home schoolers had lower life satisfaction (6.33) and were more likely to be single (48.6%) than public schoolers (40.4%).
• Home schoolers were not more likely to have changed their gender (3.2%) or have used psychedelics 5+ times (7.6%) than public schoolers (2.4% and 12.4%, respectively).
• Unschooling had the lowest life, social, and romantic satisfaction, and were most likely to be single.

Published January 18, 2023

Visit Astral Codex Ten to read Scott Alexander’s original post SSC Survey Results On Schooling Types

January 17, 2023 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters from an American]

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• Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) promised far-right members of his conference committee seats and more power in Congress to persuade them to vote for him, and now they are collecting.
• Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) and Paul Gosar (R-AZ) have been given committee assignments despite their past controversial behavior.
• Vern Buchanan (R-FL) confronted McCarthy for putting McCarthy ally Jason Smith (R-MO) in the spot of chair of the House Ways and Means Committee.
• George Santos (R-NY) was appointed to two committees despite facing pressure to resign due to his campaign lies.
• Republicans are preparing to move forward with an impeachment of Secretary of Homeland Security Alejandro Mayorkas.
• Greene called for the impeachment of President Biden.
• McCarthy has called for Democrats to talk with him about a plan that will permit an increase in the debt limit while cutting Medicare, Social Security, and federal agencies.
• Biden and administration officials say they will not negotiate with the right-wing Republicans who are trying to get their way by holding the government and the global economy hostage.

Published January 18, 2023

Visit Letters from an American to read Heather Cox Richardson’s original post January 17, 2023

Demographics Part 5: The Chinese Collapse [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • Chinese demographic data released earlier this week is extremely concerning: Birth rate is at 1.16, the lowest in their history and the second lowest in human history, and the biggest cities have birth rates below 0.7.
  • The population peaked last year, dropping by 800,000 people.
  • The Chinese government has admitted to overcounting the population by 100 million people over the past 40 years due to the one-child policy.
  • China is now the fastest aging society in human history due to a lack of people under 40.
  • China is highly dependent on global trade and imports for oil, food, and raw materials – making them vulnerable to disruptions in the global economy.
  • If current trends continue, the Chinese demography will dissolve in the next 8-10 years, and there is no economic theory for how an economy might function in this situation.

You can watch the full Demographics Part 5: The Chinese Collapse on YouTube – Published January 18, 2023

Extremely Hardcore: Our New York magazine cover story [Casey Newton, Platformer]

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• Elon Musk’s takeover of Twitter has been chaotic, with employees chewed up and spat out along the way. A new cover story at New York magazine attempts to capture the chaos and the fallout that could take big chunks of Musk’s empire down with it.
• Government agencies rely on Twitter to share time-sensitive communications, but their dependence on the platform is becoming more tenuous under Musk’s ownership.
• The UK’s Online Safety Bill is expected to reduce user numbers for the big social platforms, impacting advertising revenue on platforms like TikTok and Instagram.
• Microsoft is likely to receive an antitrust warning from the European Union about its bid for Activision Blizzard.
• Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said the company will move quickly to commercialize tools like ChatGPT and incorporate them into the company’s products.
• Apple announced the next-generation 14-inch and 16-inch MacBook Pro models, with faster M2 Pro and M2 Max chips, up to 96GB of RAM, an upgraded HDMI 2.1 port with support for an 8K external display, and faster Wi-Fi 6E.
• Bitcoin’s price has risen 26 percent in January, breaking $20,000 again and putting it in on course for its best month since October 2021.
• Scammers are gaming Amazon’s review system to sell fake 16 terabyte portable SSD drives for $100 or less.
• Discord acquired Gas, the app that allows teens to share compliments with each other anonymously.

Published January 18, 2023

Visit Platformer to read Casey Newton’s original post Extremely Hardcore: Our New York magazine cover story

Secretary jobs in the age of AI [Noah Smith, Noahpinion]

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• The secretarial role has shifted since the start of the Industrial Revolution and is expected to continue to do so in the age of AI.
• Hollis Robbins predicts that secretaries could be in demand in the AI-driven future, not as administrative assistants, but as confidantes and advisors.
• The mid-20th century Gibbs training speaks to the competence, intelligence, and cultivation expected of top secretaries.
• Self-secretarying has contributed to office fragmentation long before remote work.
• A good secretary will use ChatGPT to help manage information flow but will focus most working hours on tasks that are unique to each leader.
• A good executive assistant will more than make up the deficit of a $120,000 salary.
• The role of the secretary provides a real springboard for leadership and is fulfilling in and of itself.
• Colleges and universities could play a role in training students to practice skills that AI can’t deliver and that employers value.
• The idea of posting a job ad for a “secretary” sounds comically old-fashioned, but to be the person literally entrusted with secrets seems fundamentally more accurate to the role.

Published January 17, 2023

Visit Noahpinion to read Noah Smith’s original post Secretary jobs in the age of AI

TSMC Earnings, Geographic Flexibility, The 7nm Question [Ben Thompson, Stratechery]

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• TSMC reported its first quarterly revenue miss in two years, signaling the global decline in electronics demand is starting to catch up with the chip giant.
• TSMC is taking share from Intel, and increasing its share within the foundry business.
• TSMC is a service business, not just a pure production business, and is looking to expand its global footprint to meet customer needs.
• TSMC is working to reduce costs by building up the semiconductor supply ecosystem in the US and Japan, with government support.
• TSMC is expanding its geographic reach, likely in response to customer demand for “Made in America” chips.
• TSMC’s pricing will reflect the value of geographic flexibility, and the company is confident that its 7nm process will remain a large and long-lasting node.
• The question remains as to whether specialty applications will backfill 7nm capacity, as the cost of the process is much higher and the benefits may not be as great for analog chips.
• TSMC is working closely with customers to develop specialty and differentiated technologies to drive additional wave of structural demand from consumer, RF, connectivity and other applications.

Published January 17, 2023.

Visit Stratechery to read Ben Thompson’s original post TSMC Earnings, Geographic Flexibility, The 7nm Question

The GOP’s bogus war with corporate America [Judd Legum, Popular Information]

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• Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) was elected Speaker of the House of Representatives in January 2023, and Republicans have reportedly embraced populism and are at war with corporations.
• Fox News reported that McCarthy has refused to meet with representatives from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, and House Republicans have proven to be hostile to corporate interests.
• On February 7, McCarthy will host a mega-fundraiser at the Waldorf Astoria Hotel in Washington, DC, with all proceeds benefiting McCarthy’s reelection campaign, McCarthy’s leadership committee, and the National Republican Congressional Committee.
• Jeff Miller, a member of McCarthy’s inner circle, is the host of the fundraiser and has raised millions for McCarthy’s Super PAC and affiliated non-profit organization.
• Miller is also the founder of Miller Strategies, a federal lobbying firm that represents more than four dozen major corporations, including many of the “”woke”” companies McCarthy is supposedly taking on.
• John Stipicevic, a former McCarthy deputy chief of staff and now Chief Advocacy Officer for CGCN, is a co-host of the fundraiser and is a registered lobbyist for Disney.
• Jim Richards and Ben Howard, both corporate lobbyists, are also co-hosts of the fundraiser.

Published January 17, 2023.

Visit Popular Information to read Judd Legum’s original post The GOP’s bogus war with corporate America

It’s Time to Get Serious [Katherine Boyle, The Free Press]

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• Sam Bankman-Fried, a 30-year-old billionaire, was referred to as a “trading wunderkind” and “crypto wunderkind” in the press before his arrest in the Bahamas.
• Millennials and Gen Z have been treated as hapless children their entire lives, and this is reflected in their low marriage and home-ownership rates.
• Life expectancy is growing, but the average adult American man has a life expectancy of only 76 years, and SBF is 8 years away from that.
• The Boomer ascendancy has left us with a global gerontocracy and a languishing generation waiting in the wings.
• Delayed adulthood has had disastrous consequences for procreation in industrialized nations, and is at the root of declining fertility and population collapse.
• The prevailing wisdom in Western nations is that the ages of 18-29 are a time for extreme exploration, with no expectation for leadership.
• CEOs of companies listed on the S&P 500 are getting older and staying in their jobs longer, and 25% of Congress is over the age of 70.
• Anthony Fauci (82) isn’t retiring, and the sins of SBF will lead to even more extreme skepticism of ambitious young founders and leaders.

Published January 17, 2023.

Visit The Free Press to read Katherine Boyle’s original post It’s Time to Get Serious

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