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Check out the latest from Astral Codex Ten, Stratechery, Peter Zeihan, Slow Boring, Noahpinion.

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Latest stories

Where in the World: Adair and Winds, pt. 1 [Zeihan on Geopolitics]

By William McClain
In Peter Zeihan [Zeihan on Geopolitics], Politics
December 30, 2022
597 views
W
  • We are in an era of climate change, with more dramatic shifts in wind currents than temperatures.
  • Agriculture is more vulnerable when there is one wind source of moisture, rather than two.
  • 5 zones on the planet get their moisture from both a jet stream and a monsoon: American Midwest, Argentina, France, New Zealand, and the fifth is …I forgot.
  • Shifts in wind currents can lead to either increases or decreases in precipitation, which can have an impact on yields.
  • Data from the American Midwest and New Zealand shows that yields may be increasing due to two wind sources of moisture.

Visit the Zeihan on Geopolitics YouTube page to view the full length original vlog. Published December 30, 2022

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What We Learned in 2022 [The Free Press]

By Spencer Chen
In [The Free Press]
December 30, 2022
421 views
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  • Sebastian Junger on underdogs: Empires don’t win every war.
  • Thomas Chatterton Williams on self-restraint: Learning to hold my tongue (and tweets).
  • Masih Alinejad on freedom: The future (in Iran) is female.
  • Jennifer Sey on marriage: Putting my marriage first.
  • Jay Bhattacharya on government power v. people power: Government power v. people power.
  • Alex Perez on real friends: Who my real friends are.

Click HERE for original. Published December 29, 2022

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My ten favorite movies of 2022 [Matthew Yglesias, Slow Boring]

By Spencer Chen
In [Slow Boring]
December 29, 2022
531 views
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  • Matthew Yglesias shares his ten favorite movies of 2022, plus a late-breaking favorite from 2021.
  • He wanted to highlight the range of movies that came out this year, from arty films to blockbusters.
  • He notes that many established directors are shying away from stories set in the present day.
  • His favorite movie of 2021 is “I’m the Worst Person in the World”, a movie about a contemporary college-educated resident of a city in a rich country.
  • His top movie of 2022 is “Tár”, a poster child for the death of cinema argument.
  • His second favorite movie of 2022 is “Top Gun: Maverick”, a triumphant return of the non-MCU blockbuster.
  • His third favorite movie of 2022 is “The Stars at Noon”, a plot-lite, vibes-heavy look at white people moonlighting in the developing world.
  • His fourth favorite movie of 2022 is “She Said”, an adaptation of Jodi Kantor and Megan Twohey’s book about their reporting on Harvey Weinstein.
  • He praises the movie for front-loading professional women’s outrage at Trump’s impunity.
  • Steven Soderbergh’s Kimi is a great little paranoid thriller that taps into the psychological and sociological factors that shaped reactions to the Covid pandemic.
  • Dan Trachtenberg’s Prey is a great example of how freshening up story templates with a more diverse set of heroes can be successful.
  • Thor: Love & Thunder is a satire of MCU films occurring inside the MCU itself.
  • Baz Luhrmann’s Elvis is a bracingly ahistorical biopic that is faithful to itself.
  • Avatar 2: The Way of Water is an extremely idiosyncratic project that cost $1 billion and is the most genuinely immersive moviegoing experience.
  • Not Okay is a streaming-original black comedy that addresses contemporary reality and the ethical ambiguities of our modern world.

Click HERE for original. Published December 29, 2022

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If You Hate Billionaires, Stop Fixating on “Undeserving” Billionaires [Freddie deBoer]

By Spencer Chen
In Freddie deBoer
December 29, 2022
504 views
I
  • The movie Glass Onion is a sequel to Knives Out, but the characters are too broad and the mystery isn’t interesting.
  • The ending is unconvincing and forced, with Edward Norton’s billionaire character seemingly about to lose everything for no good reason.
  • The fixation on whether billionaires “deserve” their wealth is a sideshow, and undermines the deeper critique of the structural class position of billionaires.
  • A more radical critique would have been to have a brilliant and deserving billionaire character who is still a malign force.

Click HERE for original. Published December 29, 2022

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Sorry, I Still Think I Am Right About The Media Very Rarely Lying [Astral Codex Ten]

By Spencer Chen
In Scott Alexander [Astral Codex Ten]
December 29, 2022
384 views
S
  • The media very rarely lies, but often presents true facts in misleading ways.
  • Commenters proposed counterexamples of the media lying, but upon further examination, these examples were found to be true facts presented in a misleading way.
  • Examples of this include Fox News’ Senator Rand Paul Claims Statistical Fraud In States Where Trump Lost, The Daily Sceptic’s Twice As Many Vaccine Deaths As COVID Deaths In US Households, Poll Finds, Los Angeles Times’ The Flu Has Killed Far More People Than Coronavirus. Why All The Frenzy About COVID-19?, and Infowars’ FBI Says No One Killed At Sandy Hook.
  • In each case, the media was not making anything up, but rather presenting true facts in a deceptive way.
  • Censorship is not a primitive action, as it requires subjective judgment calls about which sources’ true facts are important vs. irrelevant, which sources’ studies are valid versus flawed, and which sources’ points that you don’t have good responses to are too annoying or conspiratorial to take seriously.
  • People want to believe that the bad people are doing something fundamentally different than the good people, but wrong people are just trying to reason under uncertainty and evaluate the relative strength of different sources of evidence – the same thing we’re doing.
  • Confirmation bias and motivated reasoning are just misfires of normal Bayesian reasoning and mis-applied reinforcement learning, respectively.

Click HERE for original. Published December 29, 2022

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Can A Tarot Card Reading Be Defamatory? [Ken White, Serious Matters]

By Spencer Chen
In Ken White [The Popehat Report]
December 29, 2022
460 views
C
  • Defamation requires a provably false statement of fact, not an opinion, insult, hyperbole, or rhetoric.
  • Professor Rebecca Scofield of the University of Idaho is suing Ashley Guillard, a Tik-Tok personality, for defamation after Guillard released a series of TikTok videos accusing Scofield of plotting and ordering the murders of four students at the University.
  • The question arises whether it is defamatory to offer an opinion based on magic, such as tarot card readings.
  • Professor Scofield may have an easier time proving defamation based on statements made by Guillard that do not explicitly reference tarot card readings.

Click HERE for original. Published December 29, 2022

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Demographics Part 3: The Xer Cut [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

By William McClain
In Peter Zeihan [Zeihan on Geopolitics], Politics
December 29, 2022
608 views
D
  • New Zealand and the United States are two of the few Advanced countries with a different demographic structure.
  • Both countries have a high proportion of young people, due to having good land for agriculture, settler societies with open immigration policies, and internal mobility options.
  • This “extra cut” of young people has resulted in a temporary hiccup in their demographics, before the Millennials mature and become capital rich.
  • This phenomenon is unique and unseen in other countries, which are instead aging into permanent demographic, economic and political decline.

You can watch the full Demographics Part 3: The Xer Cut by Peter Zeihan on YouTube – Published December 30, 2022

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December 29, 2022 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters From An American]

By Spencer Chen
In Heather Cox Richardson [Letters from an American]
December 29, 2022
466 views
D
  • President Joe Biden signed into law the bipartisan year-end omnibus funding bill passed by the House and the Senate.
  • The $1.7 trillion measure funds the military and domestic programs, public health and science, law enforcement, and programs to prevent violence against women.
  • Trump and his cronies remain determined to return to power, either to stop this federal action Trump incorrectly calls “Marxism” or to use the government to enforce right-wing religious values.
  • Establishment Republicans came around to backing Trump in 2017 after he promised them lower taxes and less regulation.
(more…)
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Mind the Cup [kyla scanlon, Kyla’s Newsletter]

By Spencer Chen
In Kyla Scanlon [Kyla's Newsletter]
December 29, 2022
507 views
M

• This year was a year of uncertainty, with many systems being fragile and the promise of “This is How It Will Be” being broken.
• The Federal Reserve’s job is to manage expectations and to make sure that inflation expectations do not become unanchored.
• Causes of inflation include deglobalization, tightness in labor markets, sky high energy and commodity prices, WFH trends, and supply bottlenecks.
• The Fed’s tools are ambiguous in the context of real world narrative, and their treatment plan should be bolstered by additional toolsets.
• On a micro level, uncertainty can be a fuel as we navigate new normals, and individual actions are what shape the world that we live in.
• Love is an action, a way that we exist in the world rather than a relationship, and this year was a year to recognize that the world does react to us.

Published December 29, 2022. Visit Kyla’s Newsletter to read kyla scanlon’s original post.

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December 28, 2022 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters From An American]

By Spencer Chen
In Heather Cox Richardson [Letters from an American]
December 28, 2022
488 views
D
  • On December 28, 1890, Lakota people surrendered to U.S. soldiers on the Pine Ridge Reservation in South Dakota, but the soldiers had more troops and guns than necessary.
  • The next day, the Wounded Knee Massacre occurred, killing 250 Lakota men, women, and children.
  • The author reflects on the tragedy and the potential to change the future.

Click HERE for original. Published December 28, 2022

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