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2023: Cheers to a New Year of Disruption [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • The world has undergone globalization, urbanization and demographic changes since 1945.
  • 30 years ago, the Cold War ended and countries previously excluded from the globalized system joined in, leading to increased growth.
  • Now, the majority of Baby Boomers are aging into mass retirement, leading to a decrease in markets, capital and working adults.
(more…)

January 1, 2023 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters From An American]

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• On January 1, 2023, the out-of-pocket cost of insulin for Medicare recipients will be capped at $35 a month.
• Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts issued the 2022 Year-End Report on the Federal Judiciary, which makes no mention of the leak of the Dobbs decision, popular demands for justices to have a code of ethics or Justice Clarence Thomas’s wife Ginni’s involvement in attempts to overturn the 2020 presidential election.
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva was inaugurated as the new president of Brazil today, replacing Jair Bolsonaro. A 33-year-old garbage collector, Aline Sousa, presented the sash to Lula as a symbol of the peaceful transfer of power.

Published January 1, 2023. Visit Letters from An American to read Heather Cox Richardson’s original post.

December 30, 2022 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters From An American]

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• In 2022, the U.S. and its allies successfully pressured Russia to prevent an invasion of Ukraine and defended the country with money, armaments, and humanitarian aid.
• At home, the Biden administration and Congress passed major legislation that included the American Rescue Plan, the bipartisan infrastructure law, the PACT Act, the CHIPs and Science Act, the Inflation Reduction Act, the Respect for Marriage Act, the Violence Against Women Act, and the most significant gun safety legislation in nearly 30 years.
• The Supreme Court handed down the Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health decision, overturning the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision that recognized reproductive healthcare as a constitutional right.
• The January 6th committee’s public hearings exposed the deliberate plan to overthrow our democracy, and in the midterm elections, Republicans only gained control of the House by four seats and the Democrats actually picked up one seat in the Senate.
• Despite the growth of authoritarianism, global post-lockdown inflation, and gerrymandering, the U.S. ended the year with a sense of progress and hope.

Published December 30, 2022. Visit Letters from An American to read Heather Cox Richardson’s original post.

Where in the World: Adair and Winds, pt. 1 [Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • We are in an era of climate change, with more dramatic shifts in wind currents than temperatures.
  • Agriculture is more vulnerable when there is one wind source of moisture, rather than two.
  • 5 zones on the planet get their moisture from both a jet stream and a monsoon: American Midwest, Argentina, France, New Zealand, and the fifth is …I forgot.
  • Shifts in wind currents can lead to either increases or decreases in precipitation, which can have an impact on yields.
  • Data from the American Midwest and New Zealand shows that yields may be increasing due to two wind sources of moisture.

Visit the Zeihan on Geopolitics YouTube page to view the full length original vlog. Published December 30, 2022

Demographics Part 3: The Xer Cut [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • New Zealand and the United States are two of the few Advanced countries with a different demographic structure.
  • Both countries have a high proportion of young people, due to having good land for agriculture, settler societies with open immigration policies, and internal mobility options.
  • This “extra cut” of young people has resulted in a temporary hiccup in their demographics, before the Millennials mature and become capital rich.
  • This phenomenon is unique and unseen in other countries, which are instead aging into permanent demographic, economic and political decline.

You can watch the full Demographics Part 3: The Xer Cut by Peter Zeihan on YouTube – Published December 30, 2022

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December 29, 2022 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters From An American]

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  • President Joe Biden signed into law the bipartisan year-end omnibus funding bill passed by the House and the Senate.
  • The $1.7 trillion measure funds the military and domestic programs, public health and science, law enforcement, and programs to prevent violence against women.
  • Trump and his cronies remain determined to return to power, either to stop this federal action Trump incorrectly calls “Marxism” or to use the government to enforce right-wing religious values.
  • Establishment Republicans came around to backing Trump in 2017 after he promised them lower taxes and less regulation.
(more…)

December 28, 2022 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters From An American]

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  • On December 28, 1890, Lakota people surrendered to U.S. soldiers on the Pine Ridge Reservation in South Dakota, but the soldiers had more troops and guns than necessary.
  • The next day, the Wounded Knee Massacre occurred, killing 250 Lakota men, women, and children.
  • The author reflects on the tragedy and the potential to change the future.

Click HERE for original. Published December 28, 2022

Demographics Part 2: The Canadian Treadmill…Stops [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • Canada has traditionally had an open door immigration policy, which has allowed them to address their demographic situation
  • The majority of immigrants come to Canada by plane, which means they tend to be older and not have as much time to pay into the system
  • This has resulted in migrants forming enclaves in Canada, as opposed to assimilating
  • The current immigration system has resulted in wealthy people coming to Canada and not taking jobs, which has distorted the housing market
  • The Trudeau government has amended ownership laws to reduce foreign ownership and the financial transfer of immigration
  • Canada is aging quickly and they must now find a new way to operate in order to solve their demographic issues.

Click HERE for original. Published December 28, 2022

December 27, 2022 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters From An American]

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  • George Santos, newly elected Republican representative from New York’s Third District, has been accused of lying about his education, work experience, and heritage.
  • The Supreme Court upheld a stay to stop the ending of the Title 42 pandemic rule that prevents much migration into the U.S.
  • Two incoming Republican representatives have called out Santos, suggesting they are more interested in protecting the future of the party than its current incarnation.
  • The Biden administration has called for Congress to pass new legislation to address the broken immigration system.
  • Republicans opposed the dreamer provision and killed the deal, while a dramatic illustration of the attempt to politicize the migrant issue took place in Washington, D.C.

Click HERE for original. Published December 27, 2022

Demographics Part 1: Understanding the Basics [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • Population structures are key in shaping an economy’s success
  • Historically, population structures have been pyramid-shaped with few retirees at the top, and many children at the bottom
  • After World War II, child mortality has dropped and lifespans have increased, transforming population structures into a ‘chimney’-like shape
  • This ‘chimney’ economic model is characterized by a balanced number of children, young adults, mature adults, and retirees, leading to a steady, balanced economy
  • Now, many countries are facing an inverted pyramid population structure, where there are more people in the 50s, 40s, 30s, 20s, and teens
  • This inverted pyramid leads to a lack of consumption and production, and a need for countries to export and import goods
  • Countries can either increase their birth rate, or borrow other people’s kids through immigration policies in order to maintain a balanced population structure

Click HERE for original. Published December 27, 2022

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