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A New Wave of German Strategic Defense Policy [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • Today, Christine Lambrecht, a German social democratic politician with no experience in defense, has resigned as Defense Minister.
  • Lambrecht’s appointment was intentionally intended to lead the Defense Ministry into a state of functional oblivion.
  • The changing geopolitical environment in Europe, with the resurgence of Russian military activity, has rendered Lambrecht’s lack of experience in defense matters a liability.
  • Her resignation provides an opportunity for Germany to revisit its strategic policy, particularly in regards to sending Leopard tanks to Ukraine.
  • This movement is further supported by pressure from other NATO member countries, including Denmark and Poland.
  • German approval is needed in order for these tanks to be shipped to Ukraine, and is expected to come soon.
  • This could potentially lead to further conversations in Germany about strategic policy and their own contribution to the military effort.

You can watch the full A New Wave of German Strategic Defense Policy on YouTube – Published January 17, 2023

Sweden’s (Not So) Rare Earth Metals [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • Swedish mining company has found a million metric tons of rare earth oxides
  • Rare earth metals are used in many technological applications
  • China currently dominates the rare earths market with around 90% of total supply
  • Swedish find is not as significant as initially thought due to large quantity needed to extract small amounts of rare earths .
  • Processing technologies are not new and have been used since the 1920s
  • Processing is toxic and time consuming
  • Chinese dominance is due to subsidizing of industry
  • Other countries have stockpiled and built processing capacity in case of Chinese cut off

You can watch the full Sweden’s (Not So) Rare Earth Metals on YouTube – Published January 16, 2023

January 15, 2023 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters from an American]

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• America has no heroes left, but heroism is not about being perfect or doing something spectacular.
• It is about regular, flawed human beings choosing to put others before themselves, even at great cost.
• Examples of heroism include General Dwight D. Eisenhower writing a letter praising the troops before D-Day, Anne Frank writing in her diary that she still believes people are good at heart, John Hancock signing the Declaration of Independence, Sitting Bull defending his people’s right to practice a religion he didn’t share, and Rosa Parks sitting down when she was told to stand up.
• On April 3, 1968, the night before he was assassinated, Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. gave a speech in support of sanitation workers in Memphis, Tennessee.
• He said that, if God had let him choose any era in which to live, he would have chosen the one in which he had landed, because only when it is dark enough can you see the stars.
• He knew he was in danger as he worked for a racially and economically just America, but he was determined to do God’s will.
• Heroes are all around us, choosing to do the right thing, no matter what.

Published January 16, 2023. Visit Letters from an American to read Heather Cox Richardson’s original post.

January 14, 2023 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters from an American]

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• Ratification Day is the anniversary of the day in 1784 when members of the Confederation Congress ratified the Treaty of Paris, which ended the Revolutionary War and formally recognized the independence of the United States from Great Britain.
• The Treaty of Paris was signed by John Adams, Benjamin Franklin, and John Jay for the United States, and David Hartley for Great Britain.
• The Treaty of Paris was a testament to the negotiating skills of the U.S. team, as they got independence, a promise to forget all past misunderstandings, repatriation of prisoners of war, no reparations, and more.
• The Treaty of Paris established the western boundary of the new nation at the Mississippi River, gave both Americans and British the right to transport goods along that waterway, and gave the United States fishing rights on the Grand Banks of Newfoundland and in the Gulf of Saint Lawrence.
• Congress had six months from the September 3 signing to get the treaty across the Atlantic Ocean, ratify the agreement, and get it back across the ocean to England.
• On January 14, 1784, Congress approved the treaty and issued a proclamation to notify all the good citizens of the United States.
• The ratification of the Treaty of Paris marked the beginning of the journey to become the United States of America.

Published January 15, 2023. Visit Letters from an American to read Heather Cox Richardson’s original post.

January 13, 2023 (Friday) [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters from an American]

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• Russia released American Taylor Dudley, who had been held since April in Kaliningrad, a slice of land between Poland and Lithuania.
• Cervical cancer rates have dropped 65% among women in their early 20s, likely due to HPV vaccinations.
• Inflation rates have slowed due to falling gas prices and airfares, and the federal budget deficit fell significantly in 2022.
• The US is about to hit the debt ceiling, and House Republicans are preparing an emergency plan to breach it, which would cut off 20% of government spending.
• Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned that failure to meet the government’s obligations would cause irreparable harm to the US economy.
• Former President Trump was fined $1.6 million for a tax fraud scheme, and Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes approved prosecutors’ request to investigate him for inspiring the January 8 attack on Brazil’s presidential offices.

Published January 14, 2023. Visit Letters from an American to read Heather Cox Richardson’s original post.

January 12, 2023 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters from an American]

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• Attorney General Merrick Garland appointed Robert Hur as special counsel to investigate President Joe Biden’s handling of classified documents.
• House Speaker Kevin McCarthy said Congress should conduct its own investigation.
• Republicans have tried to suggest that Biden was being treated differently than Trump is, but the appointment of a special counsel undermines that.
• Biden’s team offered up to the National Archives and Records Administration (NARA) the information that Biden had documents in his possession, and is apparently cooperating with the Justice Department.
• Trump is apparently being investigated for obstruction and for violations of the Espionage Act.
• Arguments began today in the trial of five Proud Boys for their actions associated with the events of January 6, 2021.
• The Justice Department today argued that the Proud Boys led the attack on the Capitol, while defense attorneys argued that their clients were being used as “scapegoats” for Trump.

Published January 13, 2023. Visit Letters from an American to read Heather Cox Richardson’s original post.

Where in the World: Adair and Winds, pt. 2 [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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  • Brazil: Its soil has no nutrient profile, so it is heavily dependent on imported fertilizers primarily from Russia. Disruption to the moisture profile could result in the loss of Brazil as a major global producer of foodstuffs.
  • Russia: Its wheat belt requires high levels of inputs, including foreign equipment and chemicals. Any disruption to the moisture profile could mean that Russia is no longer the world’s largest wheat exporter.
  • Western Australia: Its soil type has a low nutrient profile and, when water hits it, the clay particles engorge until they dissolve. Without huge amounts of capital and foreign inputs, disruption to the moisture profile could lead to the loss of Western Australia as a major breadbasket.

You can watch the full Where in the World: Adair and Winds, pt. 2 on YouTube – Published January 13, 2023

How Walgreens manufactured a media frenzy about shoplifting [Tesnim Zekeria & Judd Legum, Popular Information]

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• Walgreens has been claiming that shoplifting is an existential threat to their business, but recently their CFO admitted that they may have “cried too much” about the issue.
• Publicly available data contradicts the theft-wave narrative, with shoplifting offenses dropping 46% between 2019 and 2021.
• Walgreens has been closing stores in San Francisco due to alleged shoplifting, but police data revealed that the stores had fewer than two recorded shoplifting incidents a month on average since 2018.
• Walgreens’ claims were spread unchecked by major news organizations, with the New York Times publishing at least six stories warning readers of retail theft.
• The overblown claims in this media coverage have political consequences, with California Republican Chair Jessica Millan Patterson using the Walgreens closures as evidence that “Democratic policies have created a crime spike.”

Published January 12, 2023. Visit Popular Information to read Tesnim Zekeria’s original post.

FULL Leadership Series: Leaders of the Present and Recent Past [Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics]

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China:
  • Ruled by Chairman of the CCP Xi Jinping, who is effectively a dictator for life.
  • Geographically diverse with distinct regions, customs and identities.
  • Centralizing control, while allowing local autonomy must be balanced to rule.
  • Purge of power centers and dissent stamped out under Xi Jinping.
Russia:
  • Ruled by Vladimir Putin since a KGB coup in 1982.
  • Supported by an extremely small and concentrated elite, partnered with organized crime.
  • Limited sources of information makes Russia prone to ossification and policy errors.
  • Russian assault in Ukraine motivated by fear of invasion, which could lead to complete state collapse.
Saudi Arabia:
  • Millennial leader Muhammad bin Salman likely to be in power for the next 50 years.
  • Resources to rally allies against Iran, and a post-American Middle East could make his goal of destroying the Iranian state more achievable.
U.S. Presidents:
  • Bill Clinton: Highly intelligent and easily distracted leader who led from behind and followed public opinion.
  • George W. Bush: Brainiest cabinet ever, delegated authority to reshape the world, management style changed after 9/11.
  • Barack Obama: Ran on Charisma, lacked a grown-up job, out of his depth once in office. Led to the rise of Donald Trump.
  • Donald Trump: Embraced the party, ran on policy and Limelight, but lacked follow-up and management skills.
  • Joe Biden: Been in the Senate since the Crusades, guided by ideology, and is the most engaged president in 13-14 years. Understands the power of government and trusts the tools of State.

You can watch the full FULL Leadership Series: Leaders of the Present and Recent Past on YouTube – Published January 12, 2023

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January 11, 2023 [Heather Cox Richardson, Letters from an American]

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• House Republicans have reverted to culture wars and passed a bill to cut funding for the IRS, which would add to the deficit.
• The Biden administration has responded with criticism, and the Senate will not pass the bill.
• The House also passed two anti-abortion measures, which will not pass the Senate.
• Bloomberg’s editors and Washington Post columnist Jennifer Rubin have criticized the Republican Party for its lack of a governing agenda.
• Four new Republican representatives from New York called on Representative George Santos (R-NY) to resign due to his lies about his education, work experience, and finances.
• California has been pummeled by storms, creating floods and mudslides, and Governor Newsom and President Biden have declared a state of emergency.

Published January 12, 2023. Visit Letters from an American to read Heather Cox Richardson’s original post.

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