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Social Media is a Major Cause of the Mental Illness Epidemic in Teen Girls. Here’s the Evidence. [Jon Haidt, After Babel]

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  • Most teen girls (57%) now experience persistent sadness or hopelessness, and 30% have seriously considered suicide – the CDC’s bi-annual Youth Risk Behavior Survey showed a substantial increase in these mental health issues since 2011.
  • COVID restrictions added little to the overall trends – teens were already socially distanced by 2019.
  • Social media is a potential cause – although evidence has been limited and mostly correlational.
  • The debate has shifted since 2019 – new research has indicated that social media is a substantial cause, not just a tiny correlate, of depression, anxiety, self-harm, and suicide.
  • Social media has network effects – which can create a cohort effect and a collective action problem.
  • The empirical debate has focused on the size of the dose-response effect – but much of the action is in the emergent network effects.
  • The Coddling of the American Mind (2018) mentioned the possible role of social media in Gen Z’s mental health issues, but concluded that more research was needed.
  • Orben & Przybylski’s study (2019) found that the average regression coefficient (using social media use to predict positive mental health) was negative but tiny, indicating a level of harmfulness so close to zero that it was roughly the same size as they found for the association of mental health with “eating potatoes” or “wearing eyeglasses.”
  • The Social Media and Mental Health Collaborative Review Doc (2019) compiled relevant studies and found that nearly all of the published studies fell into one of three categories: correlational, longitudinal, or experimental.
  • Thousands of adolescents reported how much time they spend on social media, or digital media more generally, and then reported something about their mental health.
  • The great majority of studies find a positive correlation between time on social media and mental health problems, especially mood disorders (depression and anxiety).
  • The relationships are tighter for girls; with correlation coefficients of roughly r = .20.
  • Amy Orben’s narrative review of many other reviews of the academic literature concluded that “The associations between social media use and well-being therefore range from about r = − 0.15 to r = − 0.10.”
  • Jeff Hancock and his team posted a meta-analysis in 2022, with data that went up through 2018, reporting very low associations (near zero) of social media use with some mental health outcomes, but with associations between r = .10 and r = .15 for depression and anxiety.
  • Longitudinal studies found evidence indicating causation in 25 of 40 studies (62.5%), but only 1 of the 7 studies that used a week or less found an effect. 33 studies used a month or more (20 were annual) and of these, 24 found a significant effect.
  • True experiments found evidence of a causal effect in 12 of 18 studies (67%), with college students or young adults randomly assigned to reduce their social media use for a while and then measured self-reported mental health outcomes, compared to the control group.

Conclusion: Social Media Is a Major Cause of Mental Illness in Girls, Not Just a Tiny Correlate

  • 10 experiments found evidence that social media is harmful (80%) and two that did not.
  • 6 quasi-experiments looking at real-world outcomes in real-world settings when the arrival of Facebook or high-speed internet created large and sudden emergent network effects, all six found that when social life moves rapidly online, mental health declines, especially for girls.
  • Social Media is a Major Cause of the Mental Illness Epidemic in Teen Girls.

Published February 22, 2023
Visit After Babel to read Jon Haidt’s original post Social Media is a Major Cause of the Mental Illness Epidemic in Teen Girls. Here’s the Evidence.

The new CDC report shows that Covid added little to teen mental health trends [Jon Haidt, After Babel]

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  • For the first few months of this new substack, I plan to publish a major post every two or three weeks to provide timely information and analysis of the teen mental health epidemic.
  • The publication by the CDC of some of the results from its Youth Risk Behavior Study (YRBS) provide evidence that the mental health of teenagers has been steadily deteriorating since 2011, long before the Covid pandemic.
  • The Covid pandemic decreased teens’ in-person social activities, however the decrease in social activities was much smaller than the decrease that had already occurred due to the advent of smartphones in the early 2010s.
  • Covid restrictions had a greater negative impact on girls than boys, as girls are more likely to use social media, which is a major cause of the teen mental health epidemic.
  • The evidence that social media is a major cause of the teen mental health epidemic is now overwhelming, with dozens of experiments, as well as consistent and incriminating patterns in the hundreds of correlational studies.
  • Both surges in teen depression and suicide were caused by lead exposure for kids born in the 1950s through the 1970s, when leaded gas consumption skyrocketed in the post-war boom. Lead interferes with brain development in utero and early childhood, leading to a surge in boys’ suicide rates. The current surge is caused by something other than lead.
  • Anxiety prevalence is significantly higher for Gen Z and younger millennials relative to other age groups, and that gap has only been expanding since 2012.
  • Suicide rates are much higher among older men than among teenage boys, but the relative increase in suicide since 2010 is highest among the youngest boys, ages 10-14.
  • Self-harm rates among girls have increased significantly, with an astonishing 201% increase for girls aged 10-14 since 2010.
  • Self-harm rates among boys are significantly lower than those of girls, but there has been a comparably small, but significant increase in self-harm post-2010 for the youngest males, and the oldest age group plotted (60-64).
  • The mental illness diagnostic bar has probably been lowered somewhat, but this does not just cause the appearance of an increase without touching the reality. A lowered bar combined with reduced stigma, combined with social media communities in which mental illness sometimes confers prestige, may be causing a real increase in levels of mental illness and suffering across the board.
  • The epidemic may have started a few years before 2012, and seems to speed up around 2012. We will keep this critique in mind as we examine other datasets, and especially in our future post on what is happening internationally.

Published February 16, 2023
Visit After Babel to read Jon Haidt’s original post The new CDC report shows that Covid added little to teen mental health trends

Why Science Needs Diversity [Carlee Ingersoll, Nautilus]

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• Wilbur Walters, Dean of the College of Science, Engineering and Technology at Jackson State University, discussed his role as an educational leader and activist, the potential of AI to create a more equitable society, and how he sees greater Black representation in STEM fields as transformative to community empowerment.
• The National Science Foundation reported that in 2021, Black representation in STEM fields totaled only 9 percent.
• Walters believes that exposure is the most important factor in increasing Black representation in STEM fields, and that AI can be used for good to eliminate unnecessary jobs and open access to academic or creative labors.
• He also believes that historically Black colleges and universities have an important role to play in driving larger change in STEM fields.
• Nautilus will donate 10 percent of all new member subscriptions toward initiatives to increase opportunities for young Black people to imagine and succeed in STEM career paths.

Published February 15, 2023
Visit Nautilus to read Carlee Ingersoll’s original post Why Science Needs Diversity

Will CRISPR Cure Cancer? [Brian Gallagher, Nautilus]

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• Brad Ringeisen, chemist and executive director of the Innovative Genomics Institute, is working on two approaches to deliver CRISPR-Cas9 treatment to target cancer cells.
• The first approach is to use antibodies to bind to something that’s only found on a specific cell type.
• The second approach is to use envelope delivery vehicles, which take certain parts of a virus’ targeting system to help specifically target a certain cell type or tissue type.
• Intellia Therapeutics has already shown that CRISPR-Cas9 treatment can be applied intravenously to treat a liver disease.
• The dream is to do an infusion and then monitor the patient for a day or two, as this would be the most efficient and successful way to treat cancer with CRISPR-Cas9.

Published February 14, 2023
Visit Nautilus to read Brian Gallagher’s original post Will CRISPR Cure Cancer?

China’s Balloon-Size Blunder Is a Huge Opportunity [Richard Fontaine, The Atlantic]

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• Following October’s Communist Party congress, Beijing made moves to stifle the combative and confrontational group of diplomats known as wolf warriors and hosted German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in the capital.
• The tone of China’s leading diplomats noticeably softened, and for the first time in almost six years, Xi planned to host a U.S. secretary of state in China.
• However, a Chinese spy balloon drifted across the U.S., forcing Beijing into damage-control mode and handing the U.S. a rare opportunity to rally public concern and international solidarity.
• The balloon stunt galvanized attention and raised grave suspicions among Americans, as well as other countries such as Costa Rica, Taiwan, Japan, London, and NATO.
• The incident has derailed Beijing’s charm offensive and provided an opportunity for the U.S. to raise public awareness of the challenge posed by China.
• The Biden administration is making the most of the opportunity by publicly referring to a fleet of Chinese balloons that have conducted surveillance over five continents, and providing multiple public briefings.

Published February 13, 2023
Visit The Atlantic to read Richard Fontaine’s original post China’s Balloon-Size Blunder Is a Huge Opportunity

Researchers Discover a More Flexible Approach to Machine Learning [Steve Nadis, Nautilus]

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• Artificial intelligence researchers have celebrated successes with neural networks, but they remain relatively inflexible.
• In 2020, two researchers at MIT introduced a new kind of neural network based on the *Caenorhabditis elegans* worm.
• Liquid neural networks offer an elegant and compact alternative, and experiments are showing they can run faster and more accurately than other continuous-time neural networks.
• Liquid networks differ in how they treat synapses, and they are more adaptable than traditional neural networks.
• The team has tested the network on an autonomous car and an aerial drone, and they are working to improve the network’s architecture.
• Liquid networks are well suited to the analysis of electric power grids, financial transactions, weather, and other phenomena that fluctuate over time.

Published February 10, 2023
Visit Nautilus to read Steve Nadis’s original post Researchers Discover a More Flexible Approach to Machine Learning

Google and Microsoft’s Events, Monetizable Panic, Paradigms and Hardware [Ben Thompson, Stratechery]

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• Google and Microsoft held back-to-back events to showcase their AI-powered search and map features.
• Google’s event was a mess, while Microsoft’s was well-rehearsed and well-coordinated.
• Microsoft’s event was a response to Google’s search dominance, which has more than 90% market share.
• Microsoft’s blog post from 2010 showed their intent to partner with Facebook to take down Google.
• Microsoft’s Corporate Vice President of Search, Yusuf Mehdi, said that roughly half of all searches don’t deliver the job that people want.
• Microsoft’s new OpenAI-powered chat interface is an attempt to address this issue.
• Google is the default search engine in most browsers and on most phones, making it difficult for Bing to displace it.
• Google has responded to threats before, and the messiness of this week suggests they are ready to do so again.
• Bill Gurley’s article “The Freight Train That Is Android” explains how Android is a “moat” to protect Google’s search engine.
• Microsoft’s approach to Bing is to see it as their Android relative to Google Search’s Windows.
• Chat interfaces are annoying to use, and voice is not always an option.
• Google faces real cost concerns as it incorporates AI into search, and conversation AI is very expensive.

Published February 9, 2023
Visit Stratechery to read Ben Thompson’s original post Google and Microsoft’s Events, Monetizable Panic, Paradigms and Hardware

How AI Can Prompt Your Inner Artist [Jim Davies, Nautilus]

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• AI-generated art has become increasingly popular in recent years, with programs like Disco Diffusion and Midjourney allowing anyone to create breathtaking images with just a few prompts.
• This has caused a stir in the art world, with professional artists worried about losing work to AI-generated art.
• AI art generators can enrich the art world in other ways, such as allowing more books to be lavishly illustrated and providing more original art for people’s walls.
• The debate about whether AI-generated art counts as art is ongoing, with some arguing that it is missing the communication between the artist and the audience.
• However, AI art can still generate meaningful experiences for viewers, as they can still interpret the art in their own way and appreciate it for what it is.
• AI art tools also allow everyday users to become active participants in the image-generating process, becoming art directors of their own personal collections.

Published February 8, 2023
Visit Nautilus to read Jim Davies’s original post How AI Can Prompt Your Inner Artist

What I Think About LeBron Breaking My NBA Scoring Record [Kareem Abdul-Jabbar]

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LeBron James recently passed Kareem AbdulJabbar‘s scoring record, making him the NBA‘s leading scorer in history
Kareem appreciates LeBron’s dedication, drive, and talent to achieve this record
Kareem is more focused on his social legacy than on his basketball legacy
• Kareem is excited to see LeBron push boundaries of what was thought to be possible
• Kareem believes that LeBron is an inspirational figure and is proud to be part of a group of athletes who care about their community
• Kareem has a new adidas Evolution of Excellence line available through Club Skyhook

Published February 8, 2023
Visit Kareem Abdul-Jabbar’s Substack to read Kareem Abdul-Jabbar’s original post What I Think About LeBron Breaking My NBA Scoring Record

December 2022 Newsletter: The World’s Money Problem [Lyn Alden Investment Strategy]

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Key Points of the Global Financial System and Bitcoin Network:

  • Developing countries suffer from a lack of access to foreign bank accounts, currency devaluation, and financial censorship.
  • Barter system with 180 different monies developed due to inability of most currencies to be sold outside of their local jurisdictions.
  • The invention of the telegraph and then telephone increased the speed of commerce and transactions to nearly the speed of light.
  • In 2008 and 2009, Satoshi Nakamoto proposed the Bitcoin network, a globally distributed public ledger to address the velocity mismatch between transactions and bearer asset money.
  • The Bitcoin network has a finite cap of 2.1 quadrillion units that are each divisible down to eight decimal points and open protocol ledger that allows users to control a private key to transfer units.
  • Stablecoins have found utility in developing countries due to currency problems, while in developed countries the technology is seen as a solution in search of a problem.
  • The decade of affinity scams, pump-and-dump schemes, hype cycles, and leverage demonstrates the need for caution when evaluating crypto projects.
  • Blockchain technology has enabled private entities to benefit from seigniorage and it is important to ask “Does it really need a token?” when investing in crypto projects.
  • Out of 20,000+ crypto assets, only 3 have ever managed to reach a higher-high in bitcoin-denominated terms.
  • Focus on the actual utility of crypto technology, storing and transmitting value, and invest in projects with a 7-10 year growth timeframe.
  • US economy is indicating economic deceleration and a recession is a real possibility in 2023, requiring disinflationary growth by improving the supply side.

Read the original newsletter December 2022 Newsletter: The World’s Money Problem – Published December 18, 2022

 

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